Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | Yes | 24.45 | $0.056 | $0.15 | -$1.22 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | sell | 10.89 | $0.400 | $4.36 | Jul 15, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 116.45 |
| $0.014 |
| $0.06 |
| -$1.57 |
 Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.39 | $0.191 | $0.01 | -$0.26 |
| sell |
| 1.3 |
| $0.897 |
| $1.17 |
| Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 1.23 | $0.007 | $0.01 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | buy | 10.9 | $0.390 | $4.25 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?No | buy | 1.66 | $0.901 | $1.5 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Islamic Charitable Projects Association win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?No | sell | 1.19 | $0.995 | $1.18 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 16.85 | $0.080 | $1.35 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will the next governing coalition of Romania include USR + UDMR + AUR?No | sell | 1.5 | $0.992 | $1.49 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Free Patriotic Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?No | sell | 1.5 | $0.995 | $1.49 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Taqaddom Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?No | sell | 1.51 | $0.992 | $1.5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?No | sell | 1.51 | $0.999 | $1.51 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 1.56 | $0.991 | $1.55 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 1.78 | $0.972 | $1.73 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 8.57 | $0.200 | $1.71 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 1.86 | $0.980 | $1.82 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.020 | $2 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + AUR?No | sell | 2.45 | $0.940 | $2.3 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 10.94 | $0.270 | $2.95 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | sell | 3.1 | $0.997 | $3.09 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 14.39 | $0.220 | $3.17 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Islamic Group win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?No | sell | 3.63 | $0.998 | $3.62 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.770 | $3.85 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?No | sell | 5.47 | $0.720 | $3.94 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will ReLebanon win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?No | sell | 4.04 | $0.991 | $4 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?No | sell | 4.56 | $0.906 | $4.13 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 1.63K | $0.001 | $2.06 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 4.97 | $0.986 | $4.9 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?No | sell | 7.26 | $0.685 | $4.97 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 1.6K | $0.003 | $4.81 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 6.11 | $0.996 | $6.09 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 2.21K | $0.003 | $6.63 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | sell | 9 | $0.999 | $8.99 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Somos Perú (SP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?No | sell | 11.49 | $0.999 | $11.48 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 2.21K | $0.004 | $8 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 14.43 | $0.944 | $13.62 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | sell | 17.74 | $0.998 | $17.7 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?No | sell | 17.92 | $0.996 | $17.85 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | sell | 18.42 | $0.996 | $18.35 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 32.56 | $0.701 | $22.82 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 24.32 | $0.990 | $24.08 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?No | sell | 33.47 | $0.939 | $31.43 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No | sell | 57.56 | $0.831 | $47.83 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | sell | 61.35 | $0.998 | $61.23 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?No | sell | 97.39 | $0.997 | $97.1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 375 | $0.004 | $1.5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.006 | $1.5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 2.87 | $0.990 | $2.84 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 0.53 | $0.990 | $0.52 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 375 | $0.004 | $1.5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 375 | $0.004 | $1.5 | Jun 14, 2026 |