Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 285.71 | $0.700 | $244.29 | +$44.29 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.140 | $100 | 23d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 299.79 |
| $0.334 |
| $112.27 |
| +$12.27 |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 714.29 | $0.140 | $89.29 | -$10.71 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 381.43 | $0.262 | $69.42 | -$30.58 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 62.5 | $0.800 | $49.06 | -$0.94 |
| buy |
| 299.79 |
| $0.334 |
| $100 |
| 23d ago |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.200 | $33.33 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 381.43 | $0.262 | $100 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.912 | $91.15 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 285.71 | $0.700 | $200 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.300 | $50 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.800 | $50 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 365.85 | $0.410 | $150 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 224.72 | $0.890 | $200 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No | sell | 347.3 | $0.936 | $325.12 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No | sell | 40 | $0.864 | $34.54 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No | sell | 136.31 | $0.870 | $118.65 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Yes | sell | 2.02K | $0.650 | $1.32K | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Yes | sell | 1.24K | $0.654 | $810.42 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No | sell | 687.33 | $0.924 | $635.3 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.383 | $765.03 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No | buy | 1.21K | $0.413 | $500 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Yes | buy | 1.36K | $0.369 | $500 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 208.33 | $0.947 | $197.31 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | sell | 123.45 | $0.840 | $103.7 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 214.13 | $0.953 | $204.07 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?No | sell | 133.33 | $0.739 | $98.54 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 87.71 | $0.380 | $33.33 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 117.29 | $0.895 | $104.97 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 123.45 | $0.850 | $104.93 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 123.46 | $0.810 | $100 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?No | buy | 103.84 | $0.963 | $100 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 208.33 | $0.960 | $200 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 214.13 | $0.934 | $200 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 123.46 | $0.810 | $100 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 87.72 | $0.570 | $50 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?No | buy | 133.33 | $0.750 | $100 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 117.29 | $0.853 | $100 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 First to 5k: Gold or ETH?Gold | sell | 564.64 | $0.690 | $389.6 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 2.33K | $0.440 | $1.02K | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 833.33 | $0.150 | $125 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 14.87 | $0.953 | $14.17 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 20.43 | $0.979 | $20 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Hillary Clinton federally charged by December 31?No | buy | 21.98 | $0.910 | $20 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?No | buy | 32.89 | $0.912 | $30 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Interstellar object confirmed aliens?No | buy | 51.44 | $0.972 | $50 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 52.04 | $0.961 | $50 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.410 | $68.33 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Yes | sell | 366.62 | $0.146 | $53.7 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.52K | $0.226 | $342.83 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | sell | 1.49K | $0.230 | $342.6 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Yes | buy | 366.63 | $0.270 | $98.99 | Oct 14, 2025 |