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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,200 on October 28?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.990 | $1.1 | Oct 28, 2025 |
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| sell |
| 3.22 |
| $0.977 |
| $3.15 |
| Oct 28, 2025 |
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 710.1 | $0.989 | $702.29 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $5600 in October?No | sell | 5.09 | $0.990 | $5.04 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 710.1 | $0.990 | $703 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $5600 in October?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.981 | $5 | Oct 20, 2025 |
Bezos divorce in 2025?No | buy | 3.16 | $0.980 | $3.1 | Oct 20, 2025 |
Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?No | buy | 2.45 | $0.997 | $2.44 | Oct 20, 2025 |
Will XRP reach $4.50 in October?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.984 | $2 | Oct 12, 2025 |
US civil war in 2025?No | buy | 3.22 | $0.977 | $3.15 | Oct 12, 2025 |
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?No | buy | 1.74 | $0.976 | $1.7 | Oct 12, 2025 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No | buy | 8.1 | $0.988 | $8 | Oct 12, 2025 |
USDT depeg in 2025?No | buy | 6.13 | $0.978 | $6 | Oct 12, 2025 |
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?No | sell | 1.17 | $0.930 | $1.09 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.44 | $0.860 | $1.24 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?No | sell | 1.39 | $0.978 | $1.36 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Will R win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.7K | $0.001 | $1.7 | Jul 26, 2025 |
US-Iran nuclear deal before August?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.996 | $3 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Missing Epstein cell footage released before August?No | buy | 3.02 | $0.995 | $3 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.964 | $1.4 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by July 31?No | buy | 2.72 | $0.993 | $2.7 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by July 31?No | buy | 2.36 | $0.974 | $2.3 | Jul 26, 2025 |
OpenAI browser in July?No | buy | 4.12 | $0.972 | $4 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?No | buy | 3.07 | $0.977 | $3 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.930 | $1.3 | Jul 26, 2025 |
GTA VI released in 2025?No | sell | 1.93 | $0.947 | $1.83 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.880 | $1.03 | Jul 12, 2025 |
GTA VI released in 2025?No | buy | 1.93 | $0.948 | $1.83 | Jul 12, 2025 |
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.995 | $1.63 | Jul 12, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 3.11 | $0.210 | $0.65 | Jul 12, 2025 |
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Yes | sell | 5.73 | $0.240 | $1.38 | Jul 12, 2025 |
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | sell | 6.22 | $0.310 | $1.93 | Jul 12, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | sell | 3.86 | $0.926 | $3.57 | Jul 12, 2025 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | sell | 5.43 | $0.953 | $5.17 | Jul 12, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No | sell | 7.47 | $0.935 | $6.98 | Jul 12, 2025 |
USDT depeg in 2025?No | sell | 8.39 | $0.930 | $7.8 | Jul 12, 2025 |
Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.988 | $1.73 | May 3, 2025 |
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.88 | $0.580 | $2.25 | May 3, 2025 |
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.34 | $0.580 | $1.36 | May 3, 2025 |
Farcaster airdrop in Q2 2025?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.950 | $1.34 | May 3, 2025 |
Will OpenAI buy X before July?No | buy | 2.43 | $0.993 | $2.41 | May 3, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | buy | 4.23 | $0.790 | $3.34 | May 3, 2025 |
Will 10% or more CIA personnel accept buyout offer before March?No | buy | 2.62 | $0.993 | $2.6 | Feb 21, 2025 |
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.700 | $2 | Feb 21, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.12 | $0.680 | $2.12 | Feb 13, 2025 |
Farcaster airdrop in Q1 2025?No | buy | 5.51 | $0.908 | $5 | Feb 13, 2025 |
Rainbow airdrop in Q1 2025?No | buy | 4.87 | $0.822 | $4 | Feb 13, 2025 |
Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?Yes | buy | 3.61 | $0.830 | $3 | Feb 13, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.09 | $0.970 | $3 | Feb 12, 2025 |