Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 55.73 | $0.517 | $48.21 | +$19.38 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 13.86 | $0.950 | $13.17 | 6d ago |
 |
| No |
| 62.5 |
| $0.480 |
| $46.87 |
| +$16.87 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 52.63 | $0.570 | $41.84 | +$11.84 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 62.07 | $0.628 | $36.93 | -$2.07 |
 Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? | No | 35.78 | $0.335 | $33.45 | +$21.45 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 35.71 | $0.840 | $33.04 | +$3.04 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 40 | $0.550 | $31 | +$9 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 34.04 | $0.470 | $29.45 | +$13.45 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 25.97 | $0.770 | $22.47 | +$2.47 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 26.72 | $0.490 | $21.78 | +$8.68 |
 Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 37.63 | $0.718 | $19.38 | -$7.62 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 21.13 | $0.710 | $18.91 | +$3.91 |
 Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? | No | 40 | $0.500 | $18.6 | -$1.4 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 40 | $0.600 | $18.6 | -$5.4 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 86.36 | $0.220 | $18.57 | -$0.43 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | No | 25 | $0.300 | $17.63 | +$10.13 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | No | 61.22 | $0.490 | $15.61 | -$14.39 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 17.86 | $0.840 | $15.27 | +$0.27 |
 Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | No | 21.33 | $0.750 | $14.61 | -$1.39 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 16.67 | $0.600 | $14.57 | +$4.57 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 30.19 | $0.596 | $13.74 | -$4.26 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 14.71 | $0.680 | $13.31 | +$3.31 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | No | 14.71 | $0.680 | $11.69 | +$1.69 |
 Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? | No | 18 | $0.500 | $11.61 | +$2.61 |
 Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31? | No | 12.66 | $0.790 | $11.46 | +$1.46 |
| buy |
| 6.38 |
| $0.470 |
| $3 |
| 6d ago |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 41.38 | $0.290 | $12 | 7d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 13.85 | $0.940 | $13.02 | 7d ago |
 Fremantle Dockers vs. Hawthorn HawksFremantle Dockers | buy | 14.57 | $0.686 | $10 | 8d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.71 | $0.830 | $23 | 23d ago |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?No | sell | 10.76 | $0.889 | $9.57 | 23d ago |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 4.8 | $0.930 | $4.46 | 23d ago |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | sell | 5.52 | $0.930 | $5.13 | 23d ago |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | sell | 4.03 | $0.930 | $3.75 | 23d ago |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 21.33 | $0.750 | $16 | 24d ago |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.840 | $30 | 26d ago |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?No | buy | 18 | $0.500 | $9 | 28d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 9.79 | $0.968 | $9.48 | 28d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Yes | sell | 5.46 | $0.940 | $5.13 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.630 | $15 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 17.86 | $0.840 | $15 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.620 | $4 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 32.74 | $0.611 | $20 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 41.86 | $0.383 | $16.01 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 41.86 | $0.430 | $18 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | sell | 5.45 | $0.940 | $5.12 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.32 | $0.932 | $5.89 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | sell | 8.06 | $0.920 | $7.42 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Yes | buy | 5.77 | $0.780 | $4.5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.580 | $10 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | sell | 14.6 | $0.994 | $14.52 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 24.01 | $0.875 | $21 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Yes | buy | 8.05 | $0.870 | $7 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 9.09 | $0.850 | $7.73 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | buy | 14.61 | $0.685 | $10 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | sell | 11.04 | $0.870 | $9.6 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.350 | $7 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?No | sell | 6.57 | $0.930 | $6.11 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Yes | buy | 21.88 | $0.640 | $14 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.440 | $4.4 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 6.09 | $0.870 | $5.3 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?No | sell | 5.95 | $0.956 | $5.69 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.735 | $15 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | sell | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.570 | $5.7 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.720 | $7.2 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 86.36 | $0.220 | $19 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.500 | $20 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 56.51 | $0.690 | $38.99 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 36.72 | $0.490 | $17.99 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.510 | $17 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 25.97 | $0.770 | $20 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 42.44 | $0.236 | $10 | Jul 24, 2026 |