Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?Yes | sell | 4.39 | $0.120 | $0.53 | Jan 18, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 4.39 |
| $0.330 |
| $1.45 |
| Jan 14, 2026 |
 Bill Clinton in jail by January 31?No | sell | 1.19 | $0.995 | $1.18 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryYes | buy | 4.3 | $0.540 | $2.32 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Union Progressiste pour le Renouveau (UPR) win the most seats in the 2026 Benin parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 1.34 | $0.981 | $1.31 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | sell | 1.77 | $0.770 | $1.36 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win more than 20% of votes in the first round?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.960 | $0.99 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win more than 20% of votes in the first round?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.992 | $1.03 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will Ohio State win the 2026 College Football National Championship?No | sell | 1.65 | $0.670 | $1.11 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will "Song Sung Blue" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.999 | $1.19 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.23 | $0.920 | $1.13 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Bill Clinton in jail by January 31?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.991 | $1.18 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.995 | $25.87 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Will LMP – Hungary’s Green Party (LMP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.997 | $1.16 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will LMP – Hungary’s Green Party (LMP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.997 | $1.16 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will "Troll 2" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (December 16, 2025)No | sell | 1.43 | $0.999 | $1.43 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will "Troll 2" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (December 16, 2025)No | buy | 1.43 | $0.990 | $1.42 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will Union Progressiste pour le Renouveau (UPR) win the most seats in the 2026 Benin parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.34 | $0.870 | $1.17 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by less than 1%?Yes | sell | 2.94 | $0.037 | $0.11 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by less than 1%?Yes | buy | 2.95 | $0.370 | $1.09 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will María Corina Machado rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No | sell | 1.31 | $0.981 | $1.29 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | sell | 4.03 | $0.600 | $2.42 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Behn win TN-07?No | buy | 1.29 | $0.850 | $1.1 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Ohio State win the 2026 College Football National Championship?No | buy | 1.66 | $0.640 | $1.06 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?No | buy | 2.89 | $0.996 | $2.88 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?Yes | sell | 2.13 | $0.177 | $0.38 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Cambio por Chile gain the most seats in the Senate election?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.840 | $1.01 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | buy | 4.03 | $0.320 | $1.29 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | buy | 1.77 | $0.830 | $1.47 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will María Corina Machado rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.927 | $1.22 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.497 | $1.06 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will October 2025 be the 3rd hottest on record?Yes | buy | 1.63 | $0.860 | $1.4 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | sell | 1.64 | $0.840 | $1.38 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | buy | 1.65 | $0.820 | $1.35 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will Kamala Harris announce Presidential run by December 31?No | sell | 1.5 | $0.954 | $1.43 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.38 | $0.910 | $1.26 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 275–299 times August 15–August 22?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.880 | $1.06 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in August?Yes | sell | 2.03 | $0.230 | $0.47 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will the Washington Nationals win the NL East Division?No | buy | 1.46 | $0.999 | $1.46 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before September?No | sell | 1.33 | $0.991 | $1.32 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in August?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.520 | $1.06 | Aug 4, 2025 |
| Will Kamala Harris announce Presidential run by December 31?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.950 | $1.43 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.930 | $1.15 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.980 | $1.24 | Jul 12, 2025 |
| Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before September?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.967 | $1.29 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will Pepe win Season 7 of Love Island USA?No | buy | 1.44 | $0.980 | $1.41 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.997 | $1.1 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will Lenny Martinez finish in the top five at the Tour de France 2025?Yes | buy | 1.77 | $0.700 | $1.24 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.740 | $1.35 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be between 64–65°F on May 28?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.960 | $1.27 | May 27, 2025 |