Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 1.42K | $0.690 | $918.63 | -$64.09 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 458.79 | $0.009 | $4.13 | 5d ago |
 |
| No |
| 817.65 |
| $0.871 |
| $725.26 |
| +$13.08 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 686.74 | $0.823 | $581.33 | +$16.38 |
 Iran leadership change by September 30? | No | 556.19 | $0.911 | $543.4 | +$36.88 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 320.83 | $0.920 | $299.97 | +$4.81 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 271.41 | $0.810 | $245.62 | +$25.78 |
 Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | No | 220.76 | $0.870 | $197.58 | +$5.52 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | No | 174.73 | $0.888 | $152.89 | -$2.32 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 175.89 | $0.411 | $141.85 | +$69.46 |
 Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? | No | 77.13 | $0.934 | $73.66 | +$1.61 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 75.47 | $0.818 | $62.75 | +$0.99 |
 Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | Yes | 94.32 | $0.690 | $53.29 | -$11.75 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 27.8 | $0.820 | $23.91 | +$1.11 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490? | No | 27.7 | $0.695 | $20.5 | +$1.26 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 492.33 | $0.101 | $20.19 | -$29.45 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? | No | 18.57 | $0.810 | $15.5 | +$0.46 |
 Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 5.06 | $0.850 | $4.88 | +$0.58 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 20 | $0.140 | $2.7 | -$0.1 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.55 | $0.697 | $1.16 | -$0.62 |
 Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.10T at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 6.36 | $0.165 | $0.87 | -$0.18 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $4.00 on September 30, 2026? | Yes | 16.58 | $0.380 | $0.75 | -$5.55 |
| sell |
| 29.37 |
| $0.710 |
| $20.86 |
| 8d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.35K | $0.420 | $566.6 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.750 | $750.16 | 9d ago |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on August 31, 2026?No | sell | 21.62 | $0.682 | $14.74 | 10d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Yes | sell | 35.68 | $0.011 | $0.39 | 10d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?Yes | sell | 1.33K | $0.076 | $101.42 | 10d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Yes | sell | 678.97 | $0.028 | $18.79 | 10d ago |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on August 31, 2026?No | sell | 39.09 | $0.964 | $37.68 | 10d ago |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.55 | $0.330 | $2.49 | 11d ago |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on August 31, 2026?No | sell | 19.44 | $0.380 | $7.39 | 11d ago |
 Will "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?No | sell | 124.9 | $0.090 | $11.24 | 11d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 257.51 | $0.640 | $164.78 | 11d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 530m and 550m by August 31?No | sell | 104.14 | $0.998 | $103.93 | 12d ago |
| Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 257.52 | $0.721 | $185.64 | 12d ago |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?No | sell | 79.4 | $0.630 | $50.02 | 12d ago |
 Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?No | sell | 47.81 | $0.971 | $46.42 | 12d ago |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?No | buy | 191.74 | $0.909 | $174.24 | 12d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 271.43 | $0.016 | $4.34 | 12d ago |
 Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco GiantsArizona Diamondbacks | sell | 146.7 | $0.020 | $2.93 | 12d ago |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco GiantsArizona Diamondbacks | buy | 6.71 | $0.410 | $2.75 | 12d ago |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?No | sell | 817.96 | $0.950 | $777.06 | 12d ago |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?No | buy | 142.23 | $0.919 | $130.68 | 12d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 89.62 | $0.950 | $85.14 | 12d ago |
| Will "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?No | buy | 26.62 | $0.550 | $14.64 | 12d ago |
| Will "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?No | buy | 98.29 | $0.760 | $74.7 | 13d ago |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?No | buy | 106.17 | $0.840 | $89.18 | 13d ago |
 Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group BLynn Vision | buy | 159.22 | $0.250 | $39.77 | 13d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.300 | $10.8 | 13d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.2 | $0.300 | $10.56 | 13d ago |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?No | buy | 7 | $0.780 | $5.46 | 13d ago |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?No | buy | 171.03 | $0.780 | $133.4 | 13d ago |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?No | buy | 79.41 | $0.540 | $42.88 | 13d ago |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?No | buy | 54.84 | $0.690 | $37.84 | 13d ago |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?No | buy | 267.85 | $0.679 | $181.74 | 13d ago |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?No | buy | 68.85 | $0.610 | $42 | 13d ago |
| Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?Yes | sell | 23.85 | $0.538 | $12.83 | 13d ago |
 Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation stay above 1,038 ft?Yes | sell | 5.15 | $0.120 | $0.62 | 13d ago |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B9z | buy | 199.91 | $0.230 | $45.98 | 13d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.23 | $0.710 | $17.2 | 13d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.56 | $0.720 | $6.88 | 13d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 44.16 | $0.740 | $32.68 | 13d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 1.97K | $0.880 | $1.73K | 13d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?Yes | sell | 755.67 | $0.016 | $12.29 | 14d ago |
 Will Bradley Barcola join Arsenal?Yes | sell | 102.67 | $0.015 | $1.54 | 14d ago |
| Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool?No | sell | 76.3 | $0.164 | $12.52 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.67K | $0.624 | $1.67K | 14d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 410.06 | $0.905 | $371.25 | 14d ago |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.00 on August 31, 2026?No | sell | 17.63 | $0.989 | $17.44 | 14d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 121.06 | $0.850 | $102.9 | 14d ago |