Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | sell | 774.73 | $0.180 | $139.45 | Jul 18, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 300 |
| $0.470 |
| $141 |
| Jul 17, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 419.97 | $0.750 | $314.98 | Jul 14, 2026 |
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 10.56 | $0.550 | $5.81 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?No | sell | 0.69 | $0.760 | $0.52 | Jul 11, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?No | buy | 270 | $0.710 | $191.7 | Jul 10, 2026 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | buy | 400 | $0.530 | $212 | Jul 6, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?No | sell | 290 | $0.963 | $279.27 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | sell | 190 | $0.910 | $172.9 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?No | buy | 7.18 | $0.600 | $4.31 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 1.23K | $0.150 | $184.5 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.540 | $5.4 | Jun 27, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | sell | 231.3 | $0.460 | $106.4 | Jun 25, 2026 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.250 | $200 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 199.6 | $0.540 | $107.78 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.150 | $6 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.110 | $11 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 1.41K | $0.140 | $197.4 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.07 | $0.141 | $1.7 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.137 | $1.37 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?No | buy | 14.99 | $0.360 | $5.4 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 50 | $0.120 | $6 | Jun 20, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.210 | $10.5 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.120 | $1.2 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | buy | 640 | $0.330 | $211.2 | Jun 18, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 620 | $0.639 | $395.92 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 85.79 | $0.750 | $64.34 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 3.67 | $0.760 | $2.79 | Jun 11, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 620 | $0.300 | $186 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No | buy | 25 | $0.650 | $16.25 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.560 | $112 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.490 | $3.92 | May 31, 2026 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.230 | $11.5 | May 31, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 240 | $0.420 | $100.8 | May 31, 2026 |
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.388 | $5.82 | May 31, 2026 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.790 | $31.6 | May 23, 2026 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.860 | $25.8 | May 23, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 40 | $0.880 | $35.2 | May 23, 2026 |
Will Solana dip to $80 in May?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.360 | $2.88 | May 22, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.620 | $24.8 | May 19, 2026 |
Will Solana dip to $80 in May?Yes | buy | 86.21 | $0.580 | $50 | May 18, 2026 |
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?Yes | buy | 92.11 | $0.380 | $35 | May 16, 2026 |
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 52.7 | $0.664 | $35 | May 15, 2026 |