Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 4.47K | $0.169 | $20.13 | -$737.4 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 499.99 | $0.069 | $34.5 | Jun 21, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 130 |
| $0.160 |
| $7.15 |
| -$13.65 |
| buy |
| 9.74 |
| $0.199 |
| $1.94 |
| Jun 17, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 85.57 | $0.180 | $15.42 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 322.58 | $0.031 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.44K | $0.007 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 147.77 | $0.206 | $30.46 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 3.6K | $0.211 | $760.27 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 3.74K | $0.200 | $750 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 359.44 | $0.028 | $10 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 119.05 | $0.084 | $10 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 526.32 | $0.019 | $10 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.46K | $0.011 | $37.77 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.46K | $0.029 | $100 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.018 | $10 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.018 | $15 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.014 | $15 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.016 | $10 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Bahrain in March?No | sell | 16.9 | $0.007 | $0.12 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike UAE in March?No | sell | 227.78 | $0.005 | $1.14 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Bahrain in March?No | buy | 16.9 | $0.007 | $0.12 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike UAE in March?No | buy | 227.78 | $0.007 | $1.59 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 89.29 | $0.056 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 72 | $0.964 | $69.41 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5?Up | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 5?Up | buy | 117.65 | $0.017 | $2 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 290.45 | $0.110 | $31.95 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 714.28 | $0.002 | $1.43 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 265.88 | $0.034 | $9 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 714.29 | $0.070 | $50 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 72 | $0.530 | $38.16 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.160 | $20.8 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.023 | $5.75 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 220 | $0.770 | $169.4 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 4.9K | $0.020 | $96.85 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | sell | 272.72 | $0.290 | $79.09 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 70.45 | $0.750 | $52.84 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.996 | $49.8 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.890 | $44.5 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.11K | $0.042 | $46.65 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 870 | $0.100 | $87 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 272.73 | $0.220 | $60 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 4.9K | $0.020 | $100 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.090 | $100 | Jan 5, 2026 |