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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | No | 157.2 | $0.390 | $25.15 | -$36.16 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nothing Ever Happens: MarchSomething | buy | 223.75 | $0.390 | $87.26 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 86 |
| $0.026 |
| $2.27 |
| Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $140 end of April?No | buy | 86.03 | $0.958 | $82.42 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | buy | 226 | $0.600 | $135.6 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?Yes | buy | 226 | $0.140 | $31.64 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?Yes | buy | 226 | $0.040 | $9.04 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 3% and 6%?Yes | buy | 226 | $0.060 | $13.56 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?Yes | buy | 226 | $0.150 | $33.9 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Jasmine Crockett lose the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election?No | buy | 30 | $0.240 | $7.2 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Jasmine Crockett lose the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election?No | buy | 187 | $0.240 | $44.88 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Jasmine Crockett lose the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election?No | buy | 356.77 | $0.240 | $85.62 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.920 | $4 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No | buy | 157.2 | $0.390 | $61.31 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 359 | $0.380 | $136.42 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.5 | $0.862 | $9.91 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Interest RatesNo | buy | 129 | $0.150 | $19.35 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 77 | $0.860 | $66.22 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 40.51 | $0.860 | $34.84 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 51.6 | $0.859 | $44.32 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Interest RatesNo | buy | 51.6 | $0.150 | $7.74 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Trump-Epstein ParlayYes | buy | 750 | $0.037 | $27.52 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will there be zero announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats in 2025?Yes | sell | 260 | $0.100 | $26 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.223 | $17.81 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?No | buy | 319 | $0.797 | $254.32 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will there be zero announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats in 2025?Yes | buy | 480 | $0.387 | $185.65 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 118 | $0.021 | $2.48 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 480 | $0.021 | $10.08 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 480 | $0.710 | $340.8 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in 2025?Yes | buy | 480 | $0.249 | $119.53 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?Yes | buy | 85.4 | $0.054 | $4.61 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?Yes | buy | 170.5 | $0.054 | $9.28 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.942 | $235.5 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 479.53 | $0.963 | $461.79 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $102K on September 3?Yes | buy | 461 | $0.938 | $432.42 | Aug 30, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $102K on September 3?Yes | buy | 461 | $0.059 | $27.2 | Aug 30, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3000 on July 21?Yes | buy | 273 | $0.001 | $0.27 | Jul 21, 2025 |
| Ethereum above $3,000 on July 21?Yes | buy | 273 | $0.998 | $272.45 | Jul 21, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?No | buy | 10.13 | $0.986 | $9.99 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?No | buy | 450 | $0.821 | $369.45 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki win by over 8%?Yes | buy | 450 | $0.004 | $1.8 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?Yes | buy | 450 | $0.018 | $8.19 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?Yes | buy | 450 | $0.130 | $58.5 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on May 23?Yes | buy | 446 | $0.300 | $133.8 | May 16, 2025 |
| Will BTC close above $106K on May 23?No | buy | 446 | $0.690 | $307.74 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will Jim Chalmers be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?No | buy | 3.47 | $0.999 | $3.47 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?No | buy | 440 | $0.890 | $391.6 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will the next Government of Australia be a Liberal–National minority?Yes | buy | 440 | $0.080 | $35.2 | Apr 30, 2025 |
| Will the next Government of Australia be a Liberal–National majority?Yes | buy | 440 | $0.017 | $7.66 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?No | sell | 108.26 | $0.997 | $107.94 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will Kanye have no token before AprilYes | buy | 330 | $0.850 | $280.5 | Mar 13, 2025 |