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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 3.41K | $0.563 | $1.59K | -$335.88 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 823.44 | $0.480 | $395.25 | 4h ago |
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| Yes |
| 1.2K |
| $0.190 |
| $150 |
| -$78 |
Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 258.37 | $0.473 | $76.22 | -$46.05 |
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 150.94 | $0.416 | $73.96 | +$11.09 |
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 192.36 | $0.250 | $52.9 | +$4.81 |
| sell |
| 2.95K |
| $0.990 |
| $2.92K |
| Jun 16, 2026 |
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes | buy | 2.99K | $0.670 | $2K | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 4.88 | $0.820 | $4 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jun 13, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.500 | $4 | May 20, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.562 | $56.18 | May 8, 2026 |
US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 1.9K | $0.004 | $7.62 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 810.47 | $0.860 | $697 | Jan 30, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 810.46 | $0.650 | $526.8 | Jan 30, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 7.61K | $0.008 | $61.31 | Jan 30, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 2.66K | $0.173 | $458.89 | Jan 30, 2026 |
US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 2.6K | $0.479 | $1.25K | Jan 29, 2026 |
US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | sell | 2.8K | $0.445 | $1.25K | Jan 29, 2026 |
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes | sell | 249 | $0.999 | $248.75 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.998 | $199.6 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | sell | 56.64 | $0.918 | $52 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 8.49 | $0.730 | $6.2 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 441.95 | $0.949 | $419.47 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.998 | $1.5K | Nov 22, 2025 |
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?Yes | sell | 89.6 | $0.991 | $88.81 | Nov 8, 2025 |
Will Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 347.49 | $0.630 | $218.92 | Nov 8, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?No | buy | 218.92 | $0.935 | $204.78 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 204.77 | $0.911 | $186.55 | Nov 3, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?Yes | buy | 147.14 | $0.140 | $20.6 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $5200 in October?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | Oct 12, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.400 | $120 | Oct 7, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.080 | $32 | Oct 7, 2025 |
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.230 | $69 | Oct 7, 2025 |
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.050 | $10 | Oct 7, 2025 |
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.87K | $0.050 | $93.65 | Oct 7, 2025 |
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.360 | $108 | Aug 19, 2025 |
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.310 | $62 | Aug 19, 2025 |
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.023 | $11.5 | Aug 19, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.390 | $156 | Aug 19, 2025 |
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 792.99 | $0.350 | $277.55 | Aug 19, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.190 | $190 | Aug 19, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | sell | 102.87 | $0.880 | $90.53 | Aug 19, 2025 |
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?No | sell | 251.03 | $0.891 | $223.67 | Aug 19, 2025 |
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?No | sell | 899.97 | $0.790 | $710.98 | Aug 19, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 102.88 | $0.650 | $66.87 | Aug 3, 2025 |
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?No | buy | 15 | $0.831 | $12.47 | Jul 28, 2025 |
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?No | buy | 17.58 | $0.700 | $12.31 | Jul 28, 2025 |
Will Trump announce Scott Bessent as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.85K | $0.060 | $111.16 | Jul 28, 2025 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 5.4K | $0.150 | $809.94 | Jul 28, 2025 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 25.19 | $0.210 | $5.29 | Jul 20, 2025 |
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?No | buy | 420 | $0.580 | $243.6 | Jul 18, 2025 |
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?No | buy | 140 | $0.580 | $81.2 | Jul 18, 2025 |
Will Trump announce Scott Bessent as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 660.1 | $0.230 | $151.82 | Jul 18, 2025 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.220 | $110 | Jul 18, 2025 |