Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.987 | $1.23 | Mar 16, 2026 |
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Defiant-Leprosy is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,791,876 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$230.82 observed lifetime PnL, 50 distinct markets, 45 resolved positions, a 62.2% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0xe1bad177e68e8f3cd3e424a69a4101c682a82fec
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| buy |
| 1.55K |
| $0.001 |
| $1.55 |
| Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?Yes | buy | 1.55 | $0.987 | $1.53 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?Yes | buy | 1.53 | $0.960 | $1.47 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will Trae Young win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes | buy | 1.47K | $0.001 | $1.47 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?Yes | buy | 1.46 | $0.950 | $1.39 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.976 | $1.36 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.89K | $0.001 | $1.89 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.59 | $0.560 | $0.89 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.997 | $1.59 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will Kast win by at least 25%?Yes | buy | 1.59K | $0.001 | $1.59 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India?Yes | buy | 1.59K | $0.001 | $1.59 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Ismail Haniyeh be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?Yes | buy | 1.59K | $0.001 | $1.59 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Solana Up or Down on November 17?Up | buy | 2.26 | $0.970 | $2.19 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?Yes | buy | 1.19K | $0.001 | $1.19 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?Yes | buy | 2.19K | $0.001 | $2.19 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will 3 Coin win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Yes | buy | 2.19K | $0.001 | $2.19 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8AM ETDown | buy | 391.78 | $0.510 | $199.81 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Solana Up or Down on October 20?Up | buy | 1.44 | $0.790 | $1.14 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?Up | buy | 1.14 | $0.950 | $1.08 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Ethereum Up or Down on October 18?Up | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on September 29?Up | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 XRP Up or Down on August 21?Up | buy | 8.35 | $0.550 | $4.59 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Ethereum above $4200 on August 18?Yes | buy | 4.59 | $0.965 | $4.43 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Solana Up or Down on August 17?Up | buy | 4.43 | $0.540 | $2.39 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| XRP Up or Down on August 13?Up | buy | 2.39 | $0.900 | $2.15 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will Alberto Undurraga win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.15K | $0.001 | $2.15 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| XRP Up or Down on August 11?Up | buy | 3.17 | $0.520 | $1.65 | Aug 10, 2025 |
| XRP Up or Down on August 7?Up | buy | 1.64 | $0.900 | $1.48 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on August 4?Up | buy | 1.48 | $0.985 | $1.46 | Aug 4, 2025 |
 Will KrF win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.44K | $0.001 | $1.44 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Solana Up or Down on July 28?Up | buy | 1.46 | $0.700 | $1.02 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Solana Up or Down on July 26?Up | buy | 1.03 | $0.985 | $1.01 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| XRP Up or Down on July 24?Down | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | Jul 24, 2025 |
| XRP Up or Down on July 22?Down | buy | 3.32 | $0.940 | $3.12 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Solana above $180 on July 21?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.976 | $1 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Will DIY win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?Yes | buy | 3.1K | $0.001 | $3.1 | Jul 21, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on July 20?Up | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 3.08K | $0.001 | $3.08 | Jul 20, 2025 |
| Solana Up or Down on July 18?Up | buy | 5.09 | $0.850 | $4.33 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| XRP Up or Down on July 17?Up | buy | 4.33 | $0.997 | $4.32 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Solana Up or Down on July 16?Up | buy | 4.32 | $0.760 | $3.28 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Pump.fun market cap (FDV) <$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 3.28 | $0.994 | $3.26 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Will Desire Doue win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 3.26K | $0.001 | $3.26 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14?Up | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Solana Up or Down on July 14?Up | buy | 1.03 | $0.969 | $1 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| XRP Up or Down on July 13?Up | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on July 13?Up | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 F1 season canceled or other team wins?Yes | buy | 3.17K | $0.001 | $3.17 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 10% and 11% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 3.17K | $0.001 | $3.17 | Jul 12, 2025 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.