Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2.16 | +$0.16 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 2.19 | $0.915 | $2 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 2.14 |
| $0.935 |
| $2.06 |
| +$0.06 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | No | 2 | $0.998 | $1.99 | -$0.01 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1.16 | +$0.16 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | No | 1.06 | $0.944 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 1.05 | $0.951 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 1.24 | $0.805 | $0.94 | -$0.06 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 1.89 | $0.530 | $0.93 | -$0.07 |
| buy |
| 5.48 |
| $0.913 |
| $5 |
| Jul 11, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 2.5Under | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17?Yes | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.257 | $1.29 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.740 | $74 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 2.47 | $0.810 | $2 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Nithya Raman finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.660 | $2 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETDown | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Claude 4.8 released by June 15?Yes | buy | 5.25 | $0.952 | $5 | May 28, 2026 |
| Claude 4.8 released by May 31?Yes | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 2.14 | $0.935 | $2 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 22?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.990 | $2 | May 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 2.12 | $0.944 | $2 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 20?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.985 | $2 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | May 14, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.958 | $1 | May 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETDown | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | May 6, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.47 | $0.810 | $2 | May 6, 2026 |
 LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Hanwha Life Esports | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 29?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?Yes | buy | 2.89 | $0.693 | $2 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 17?No | buy | 1.57 | $0.600 | $0.94 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.750 | $1.95 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 2 | $0.998 | $2 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 11?Yes | buy | 2.01 | $0.996 | $2 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.890 | $0.99 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Cerebras IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.926 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.805 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will EdgeX launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETDown | buy | 70.9 | $0.521 | $36.94 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETUp | buy | 99.84 | $0.060 | $5.99 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETUp | buy | 174.48 | $0.791 | $138.07 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETDown | buy | 143.48 | $0.552 | $79.24 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETUp | buy | 64.35 | $0.170 | $10.94 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETDown | buy | 99.55 | $0.105 | $10.5 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETDown | buy | 89.96 | $0.029 | $2.65 | Mar 16, 2026 |