Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ethereum Up or Down on December 20?Down | buy | 278 | $0.500 | $139 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 2.06 |
| $0.973 |
| $2 |
| Oct 31, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 7?No | buy | 1.38 | $0.960 | $1.32 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.996 | $1.23 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.988 | $2.3 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Will OpenAi have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 1.74 | $0.997 | $1.73 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 2.23 | $0.996 | $2.22 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 1.68 | $0.993 | $1.67 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.983 | $3 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.963 | $2 | Aug 17, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.981 | $1.3 | Aug 17, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | Aug 17, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 4.09 | $0.978 | $4 | Aug 17, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 3.59 | $0.975 | $3.5 | Aug 17, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4200 in July?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.972 | $1.8 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 2.24 | $0.983 | $2.2 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.978 | $2.5 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.980 | $3 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.974 | $3 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 5.65 | $0.974 | $5.5 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 5.65 | $0.974 | $5.5 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.970 | $5.45 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?Yes | sell | 5.11 | $0.980 | $5.01 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | sell | 5.4 | $0.977 | $5.28 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 5.12 | $0.977 | $5 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 1.3K | $0.948 | $1.23K | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 8.98 | $0.372 | $3.34 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.62K | $0.365 | $956.7 | Oct 23, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Colorado Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 6.32 | $0.947 | $5.99 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?Yes | sell | 960.32 | $0.990 | $950.72 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?Yes | buy | 960.32 | $0.993 | $953.6 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Colorado Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 6.32 | $0.949 | $6 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?Yes | sell | 21.11 | $0.968 | $20.43 | Oct 14, 2024 |
| Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?Yes | buy | 21.12 | $0.976 | $20.61 | Oct 14, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 183.52 | $0.521 | $95.61 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 183.52 | $0.514 | $94.33 | Sep 9, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 110.97 | $0.850 | $94.32 | Sep 6, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 110.97 | $0.860 | $95.43 | Sep 5, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 202.62 | $0.471 | $95.43 | Sep 4, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 202.63 | $0.472 | $95.64 | Sep 3, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 113.86 | $0.840 | $95.64 | Sep 2, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 113.87 | $0.840 | $95.65 | Aug 27, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?No | sell | 96.17 | $0.255 | $24.48 | Aug 26, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | sell | 96.17 | $0.740 | $71.17 | Aug 26, 2024 |