Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | Yes | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5.53 | +$0.53 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.036 | $40 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 208.34 |
| $0.024 |
| $4.06 |
| -$0.94 |
 H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 33.33 | $0.150 | $2.17 | -$2.83 |
| Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 571.34 | $0.018 | $0.86 | -$9.14 |
| Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 270.27 | $0.037 | $0.27 | -$9.73 |
| sell |
| 128.75 |
| $0.160 |
| $20.6 |
| Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 1.39K | $0.036 | $50 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.150 | $20 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.060 | $20 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 365.85 | $0.041 | $15 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?No | buy | 88 | $0.250 | $22 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?No | buy | 400 | $0.250 | $100 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.024 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Binance be accused of insider trading?Yes | buy | 112.44 | $0.044 | $5 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will OKX be accused of insider trading?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.008 | $5 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading?Yes | buy | 143.14 | $0.035 | $5 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Judy Shelton attend the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 63.29 | $0.079 | $5 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 280.7 | $0.057 | $16 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 472.41 | $0.074 | $35 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.070 | $25 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 133.33 | $0.150 | $20 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.035 | $10 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 185.19 | $0.054 | $10 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 128.21 | $0.039 | $5 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.006 | $5 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 661.37 | $0.076 | $50 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?No | buy | 275.76 | $0.181 | $50 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ETUp | buy | 26 | $0.190 | $4.94 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out by June 30?Yes | sell | 605.57 | $0.034 | $20.73 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETUp | buy | 16.58 | $0.179 | $2.97 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETUp | buy | 68.7 | $0.073 | $4.99 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETUp | buy | 137.48 | $0.144 | $19.85 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETDown | buy | 49.21 | $0.298 | $14.67 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETDown | buy | 22.39 | $0.220 | $4.93 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETUp | buy | 8.63 | $0.562 | $4.85 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETDown | sell | 26 | $0.790 | $20.54 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETDown | sell | 26 | $0.530 | $13.78 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETDown | buy | 52.01 | $0.190 | $9.88 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETUp | sell | 12 | $0.520 | $6.24 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETUp | buy | 6.61 | $0.150 | $0.99 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETUp | buy | 6.19 | $0.160 | $0.99 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 526.32 | $0.057 | $30 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 123.46 | $0.081 | $10 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 154.23 | $0.130 | $20 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.01K | $0.005 | $10 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 402.03 | $0.050 | $20 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Feb 13, 2026 |