Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 41.72 | $0.479 | $21.9 | +$1.9 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 20.92 | $0.239 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 14.1 |
| $0.922 |
| $13.56 |
| +$0.56 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 11.96 | $0.836 | $10.94 | +$0.94 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10.84 | +$0.84 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 20.92 | $0.239 | $3.88 | -$1.12 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 5.52 | $0.543 | $2.78 | -$0.22 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 3.57 | $0.280 | $2.57 | +$1.57 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 11.6 | $0.345 | $1.64 | -$2.36 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 3.57 | $0.840 | $1.48 | -$1.52 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 24.93 | $0.201 | $0.79 | -$4.21 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | Yes | 4.93 | $0.203 | $0.57 | -$0.43 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 3.04 | $0.329 | $0.5 | -$0.5 |
 Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? | OpenAI | 4.76 | $0.210 | $0.4 | -$0.6 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 2.63 | $0.380 | $0.14 | -$0.86 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 1.92 | $0.520 | $0.14 | -$0.86 |
| buy |
| 3.41 |
| $0.880 |
| $3 |
| Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 4.23 | $0.710 | $3 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETUp | sell | 8.33 | $0.620 | $5.16 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETUp | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETUp | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETUp | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETUp | sell | 5.74 | $0.930 | $5.34 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETUp | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETUp | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETUp | buy | 5.75 | $0.869 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETUp | sell | 9.61 | $0.530 | $5.09 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETUp | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETUp | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETUp | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETDown | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETDown | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETDown | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETDown | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETDown | buy | 22.61 | $0.221 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETDown | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETUp | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETUp | buy | 6.75 | $0.740 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETDown | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETDown | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETUp | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ETUp | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ETDown | sell | 6.66 | $0.360 | $2.4 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ETDown | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETDown | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 10.28 | $0.389 | $4 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 7.5 | $0.800 | $6 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 3.82 | $0.785 | $3 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETUp | sell | 8.92 | $0.550 | $4.91 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETUp | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETUp | sell | 9.25 | $0.530 | $4.9 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETUp | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETUp | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?No | buy | 4.94 | $0.810 | $4 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETUp | sell | 8.06 | $0.810 | $6.53 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETUp | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETDown | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETDown | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETDown | sell | 10.41 | $0.710 | $7.39 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETDown | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETUp | sell | 5.74 | $0.930 | $5.34 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETUp | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceArgentina | buy | 5.41 | $0.740 | $4 | Jul 10, 2026 |