Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December? | Yes | 7.69 | $0.130 | $2.92 | +$1.92 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,500-$8,000 in December? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 7.14 |
| $0.140 |
| $1.61 |
| +$0.61 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.56 | $0.391 | $1.3 | +$0.3 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | No | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | No | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.28 | $0.780 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,000-$7,500 in December? | Yes | 3.7 | $0.270 | $0.8 | -$0.2 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,500-$7,000 in December? | Yes | 3.33 | $0.300 | $0.33 | -$0.67 |
| buy |
| 2.17 |
| $0.460 |
| $1 |
| May 3, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,500-$7,000 in December?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,500-$8,000 in December?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,000-$7,500 in December?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
 Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.026 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.391 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 4.76 | $0.120 | $0.57 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.160 | $0.89 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.260 | $1.04 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.26 | $0.860 | $1.08 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.36 | $0.860 | $1.17 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.44 | $0.840 | $1.21 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?Yes | sell | 2.85 | $0.015 | $0.04 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Ramos vs. MariscalRamos | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Mar 1, 2025 |
 Brundage vs. MarquezBrundage | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | Mar 1, 2025 |
 Will no new pope be elected in 2025?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.822 | $1 | Mar 1, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Mar 1, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Mar 1, 2025 |
 Liverpool wins the Premier League?Yes | sell | 1.26 | $0.953 | $1.2 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.930 | $1.04 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.200 | $1.25 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in 2025?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.150 | $1.25 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Arsenal wins the Premier League?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.981 | $1.12 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Will the Liberal–National Coalition win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 1.61 | $0.670 | $1.08 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Will the SPD be part of the next German government?Yes | sell | 10.86 | $0.970 | $10.53 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Will Leicester City be relegated?Yes | sell | 1.31 | $0.900 | $1.18 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | sell | 22.85 | $0.979 | $22.37 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will the SPD be part of the next German government?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Feb 22, 2025 |
| Will the CDU/CSU be part of the next German government?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.969 | $1 | Feb 22, 2025 |
 Will CDU/CSU win more seats than SPD and Greens?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Feb 22, 2025 |
 Zhilei Zhang vs. Agit KabayelKabayel | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Feb 22, 2025 |
 Will the Liberals win the second most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Feb 22, 2025 |
 Boeing at fault for South Korea plane crash?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.988 | $1.03 | Feb 22, 2025 |