Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.910 | $9.83 | +$0.73 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 10.29 | $0.972 | $10 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 50 |
| $0.090 |
| $3.75 |
| -$0.75 |
| buy |
| 10.38 |
| $0.963 |
| $10 |
| Jun 6, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.400 | $4 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.600 | $12 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | May 21, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.090 | $4.5 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.910 | $9.1 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.983 | $9.83 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?No | buy | 5 | $0.976 | $4.88 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes | buy | 5.25 | $0.953 | $5 | May 12, 2026 |
 Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Yes | buy | 10.99 | $0.840 | $9.23 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | May 11, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETDown | buy | 8 | $0.090 | $0.72 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.916 | $4.58 | May 7, 2026 |
 Romania No-Confidence vote passes?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.998 | $9.98 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.580 | $5.8 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will the Labour Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Yes | buy | 10.37 | $0.964 | $10 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX have less than or equal to 11 launches in April?Yes | sell | 10.79 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?Yes | buy | 10.17 | $0.983 | $10 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX have exactly 12 launches in April?Yes | sell | 0.86 | $0.702 | $0.6 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?Yes | sell | 12.22 | $0.997 | $12.18 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 James Comey arrested by April 29?No | sell | 5.37 | $0.180 | $0.97 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| James Comey arrested by April 30?Yes | buy | 4.34 | $0.830 | $3.6 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| James Comey arrested by April 29?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will King Charles say "Honor" during the joint meeting of Congress?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETUp | buy | 1.12 | $0.880 | $0.98 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?Yes | buy | 2.37 | $0.845 | $2 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.657 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?No | sell | 11.1 | $0.289 | $3.21 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes | sell | 11.12 | $0.700 | $7.78 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.960 | $8 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?No | buy | 8.43 | $0.949 | $8 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?No | buy | 10.71 | $0.934 | $10 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.31 | $0.970 | $10 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes | buy | 11.12 | $0.899 | $10 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 66.66 | $0.042 | $2.8 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 1775 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.997 | $14.24 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?Yes | sell | 10.25 | $0.999 | $10.24 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 1775 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 12.65 | $0.420 | $5.31 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?Yes | buy | 10.26 | $0.975 | $10 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?Up | buy | 10 | $0.977 | $9.77 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.56 | $0.947 | $10 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 8.42 | $0.920 | $7.75 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 12.66 | $0.316 | $4 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX have exactly 12 launches in April?Yes | buy | 10.86 | $0.571 | $6.2 | Apr 21, 2026 |