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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 1K | $0.887 | $969.55 | +$82.67 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.930 | $93 | 2d ago |
|
| No |
| 600 |
| $0.830 |
| $581.4 |
| +$83.4 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | No | 600 | $0.922 | $552 | -$1 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 1.9K | $0.257 | $389.59 | -$98.96 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 300 | $0.837 | $283.5 | +$32.5 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 309.28 | $0.597 | $245.87 | +$61.18 |
| Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 229.74 | $0.566 | $180.35 | +$50.26 |
 Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | Yes | 185.67 | $0.777 | $160.6 | +$16.4 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? | No | 200 | $0.730 | $140 | -$6 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 140 | $0.591 | $130.9 | +$48.1 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 149.99 | $0.530 | $129.74 | +$50.25 |
 Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.780 | $95.7 | +$17.7 |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.500 | $76 | +$26 |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.458 | $66.8 | +$21.04 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028? | No | 150 | $0.383 | $56.25 | -$1.25 |
 Will Bernie Sanders announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 45 | $0.930 | $43.81 | +$1.96 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 281.92 | $0.018 | $33.41 | +$28.33 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 692.11 | $0.027 | $23.88 | +$5.18 |
 Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 57.85 | $0.139 | $21.46 | +$13.42 |
 Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | No | 50 | $0.691 | $20.15 | -$14.4 |
 Will "The Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 100 | $0.250 | $19.5 | -$5.5 |
 Will Péter Magyar be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 20 | $0.850 | $19.04 | +$2.04 |
 Will George Clooney announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 19.62 | $0.880 | $18.54 | +$1.28 |
 Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 991.82 | $0.013 | $18.35 | +$5.94 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 27.34 | $0.450 | $17.63 | +$5.32 |
| buy |
| 64.72 |
| $0.920 |
| $59.54 |
| 2d ago |
 Will Republicans sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.270 | $5.4 | 19d ago |
 Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?No | buy | 62 | $0.901 | $55.87 | 19d ago |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 492.62 | $0.139 | $68.45 | 26d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.780 | $156 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?Yes | buy | 19.86 | $0.243 | $4.82 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?No | buy | 5 | $0.690 | $3.45 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?No | buy | 12.55 | $0.690 | $8.66 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?No | buy | 500 | $0.020 | $9.95 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.072 | $14.4 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.031 | $9.3 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Bill Walker win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | buy | 24.91 | $0.034 | $0.85 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will James Parkin advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?No | buy | 496.5 | $0.937 | $465.42 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Jessica Faircloth advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?No | buy | 25.01 | $0.910 | $22.76 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Dave Bronson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?Yes | buy | 71.2 | $0.360 | $25.63 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?No | buy | 15.62 | $0.620 | $9.68 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 34.08 | $0.710 | $24.2 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No | buy | 0.37 | $0.761 | $0.28 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | buy | 70.6 | $0.650 | $45.89 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | buy | 0.9 | $0.550 | $0.5 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No | sell | 100 | $0.008 | $0.8 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 155 | $0.300 | $46.5 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.300 | $60 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.300 | $13.5 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.300 | $6.6 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 118.99 | $0.300 | $35.7 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 59 | $0.300 | $17.7 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | sell | 104.98 | $0.700 | $73.49 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.290 | $14.5 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.290 | $14.5 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.280 | $56 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.340 | $20.4 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.360 | $27 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.360 | $72 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.360 | $21.6 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.360 | $54 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 423.98 | $0.163 | $69.32 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?No | buy | 106.9 | $0.785 | $83.88 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.430 | $21.5 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?Yes | buy | 53.2 | $0.964 | $51.3 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?Yes | buy | 148.79 | $0.946 | $140.76 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce Harmeet Dhillon as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?Yes | sell | 160 | $0.065 | $10.45 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce Jeanine Pirro as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?Yes | buy | 481.79 | $0.015 | $7.42 | May 7, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?No | sell | 200 | $0.983 | $196.6 | May 7, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 993.06 | $0.891 | $884.82 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?No | buy | 300 | $0.508 | $152.4 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.006 | $3 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce Harmeet Dhillon as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.021 | $3.36 | May 3, 2026 |