Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 3.95 | $0.760 | $3.34 | +$0.34 |
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | 5d ago |
![]() |
| Yes |
| 3.46 |
| $0.868 |
| $2.92 |
| -$0.08 |
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 2.78 | $0.360 | $2.65 | +$1.65 |
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 3.23 | $0.620 | $2.27 | +$0.27 |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8.51 | $0.235 | $1.92 | -$0.08 |
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? | Yes | 9.42 | $0.425 | $1.37 | -$2.63 |
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1.2 | +$0.2 |
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? | No | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 40 | $0.025 | $1.1 | +$0.1 |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Yes | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | No | 1.02 | $0.980 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 1.27 | $0.790 | $0.92 | -$0.08 |
Will 1 person leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.05 | $0.950 | $0.83 | -$0.17 |
Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes | 3.62 | $0.553 | $0.78 | -$1.22 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 10.31 | $0.097 | $0.74 | -$0.26 |
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 2.94 | $0.340 | $0.57 | -$0.43 |
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | Yes | 4 | $0.250 | $0.54 | -$0.46 |
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.03 | $0.970 | $0.52 | -$0.48 |
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? | Yes | 5 | $0.200 | $0.43 | -$0.58 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 3.13 | $0.320 | $0.42 | -$0.58 |
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? | Yes | 4.17 | $0.240 | $0.4 | -$0.6 |
Sudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.03 | $0.330 | $0.39 | -$0.61 |
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.22 | $0.450 | $0.34 | -$0.66 |
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? | Yes | 3.13 | $0.320 | $0.3 | -$0.7 |
| buy |
| 1.05 |
| $0.950 |
| $1 |
| 5d ago |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 10.31 | $0.097 | $1 | 5d ago |
Will Eddie Speir be the FL-16 Republican nominee?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | 25d ago |
Will Sydney Gruters be the FL-16 Republican nominee?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | 25d ago |
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | 27d ago |
Will Trump say "Ballroom" this week?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | 28d ago |
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Aug 11, 2026 |
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.971 | $1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.945 | $1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Jay Clayton confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by December 31?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.29 | $0.233 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.92 | $0.169 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.041 | $1 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Jul 27, 2026 |
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.954 | $1 | Jul 27, 2026 |
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?No | buy | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jul 18, 2026 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?Yes | buy | 1.31 | $0.763 | $1 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.327 | $1 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 13, 2026?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.919 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
Kash Patel out by July 31?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
Will Jared Golden be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
Kash Patel out by July 31?Yes | buy | 8.06 | $0.124 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
Will Graham Platner be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.064 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
Will Jared Golden be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
Will Jared Golden be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jul 8, 2026 |