Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Yes | 38.57 | $0.110 | $28.54 | +$24.3 |
 Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?Yes | sell | 1.51K | $0.050 | $75.36 | May 19, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 22.73 |
| $0.220 |
| $11.36 |
| +$6.36 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 12.74 | $0.356 | $10.89 | +$6.36 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 191.54 | $0.026 | $6.61 | +$1.63 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 150.91 | $0.033 | $5.51 | +$0.53 |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | Yes | 12.78 | $0.370 | $3 | -$1.73 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? | Yes | 18.41 | $0.270 | $2.67 | -$2.3 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Yes | 12.15 | $0.260 | $1.15 | -$2 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 29.67 | $0.170 | $1.11 | -$3.93 |
 Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | Yes | 12 | $0.390 | $0.66 | -$4.02 |
| sell |
| 4.85K |
| $0.019 |
| $92.48 |
| May 19, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?Yes | buy | 125.81 | $0.198 | $24.96 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Yes | buy | 1.08K | $0.167 | $180.06 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Yes | sell | 1.55K | $0.320 | $496.56 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.365 | $365.65 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Yes | buy | 13.37 | $0.330 | $4.41 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.180 | $4.68 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Yes | buy | 534.76 | $0.336 | $179.56 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 4% on any day in Q1?Yes | sell | 50.13 | $0.080 | $4.01 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 555.55 | $0.011 | $6.11 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?Yes | sell | 45.92 | $0.140 | $6.43 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?No | sell | 28.37 | $0.290 | $8.23 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Yes | sell | 25.87 | $0.330 | $8.54 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 193.91 | $0.046 | $8.92 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | sell | 58.02 | $0.160 | $9.28 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 25.36 | $0.381 | $9.66 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Ethereum flipped in 2026?No | sell | 18.89 | $0.530 | $10.01 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Yes | sell | 16.14 | $0.640 | $10.33 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 45.04 | $0.250 | $11.26 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 145.73 | $0.080 | $11.66 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 34.33 | $0.362 | $12.43 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 72.78 | $0.350 | $25.47 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?No | sell | 62.02 | $0.600 | $37.21 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Yes | buy | 2.55K | $0.201 | $511.11 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 3.66K | $0.140 | $511.11 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Yes | buy | 515 | $0.190 | $97.85 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | sell | 104.41 | $0.310 | $32.37 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 245.37 | $0.160 | $39.26 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 3.28K | $0.008 | $26.22 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Yes | buy | 297.95 | $0.190 | $56.61 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1.95K | $0.029 | $56.6 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Yes | buy | 166.63 | $0.190 | $31.66 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.6 | $0.240 | $1.34 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Song Yadong next?Yes | sell | 42.13 | $0.002 | $0.08 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 22.45 | $0.044 | $0.99 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?Yes | sell | 147.46 | $0.050 | $7.37 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | sell | 138.04 | $0.060 | $8.28 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 9.37 | $0.082 | $0.77 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Yes | sell | 41.16 | $0.110 | $4.53 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 9.65 | $0.110 | $1.06 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.89 | $0.140 | $1.38 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30?No | sell | 9.43 | $0.620 | $5.85 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Yes | buy | 544.43 | $0.179 | $97.27 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 179.44 | $0.188 | $33.73 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?Yes | sell | 11.83 | $0.180 | $2.13 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 13.35 | $0.250 | $3.34 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Clavicular receive a Kick ban by June 1, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.3 | $0.316 | $3.89 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?Yes | sell | 9.96 | $0.340 | $3.39 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes | sell | 1.49 | $0.410 | $0.61 | Mar 19, 2026 |