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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 31.58 | $0.190 | $4.58 | -$1.42 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 6.13 | $0.226 | $1.39 | Jul 17, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 12.82 |
| $0.156 |
| $1.26 |
| -$0.74 |
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 18.46 | $0.271 | $1.2 | -$3.8 |
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | Yes | 13.44 | $0.149 | $1.08 | -$0.92 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 11.11 | $0.270 | $0.5 | -$2.5 |
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.03 | $0.330 | $0.47 | -$0.53 |
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | No | 5.88 | $0.340 | $0.38 | -$1.62 |
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | Yes | 4.35 | $0.230 | $0.26 | -$0.74 |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.080 | $0.21 | -$0.79 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.160 | $0.2 | -$0.8 |
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | 2.11 | $0.475 | $0.14 | -$0.86 |
Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.59 | $0.630 | $0.04 | -$0.96 |
| sell |
| 2.94 |
| $0.410 |
| $1.21 |
| Jul 17, 2026 |
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 30.74 | $0.002 | $0.06 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 8.62 | $0.650 | $5.6 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 8.62 | $0.640 | $5.52 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 17.24 | $0.580 | $10 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes | sell | 1.63 | $0.017 | $0.03 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 30.74 | $0.065 | $2 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 3.7 | $0.710 | $2.63 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | Jul 14, 2026 |
France vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5Over | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 5.4 | $0.042 | $0.23 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 10.86 | $0.018 | $0.2 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 7.19 | $0.139 | $1 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.034 | $1 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.184 | $2 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No | sell | 3.89 | $0.900 | $3.5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 3.44 | $0.380 | $1.31 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes | buy | 5.46 | $0.183 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will Netherlands be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will Netherlands be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?No | sell | 4.93 | $0.940 | $4.63 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Panama to score first vs. England?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jun 27, 2026 |
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jun 27, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?No | buy | 4.94 | $0.810 | $4 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 1.5Over | sell | 2.04 | $0.999 | $2.04 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 1.5Over | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No | buy | 3.9 | $0.770 | $3 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?Yes | sell | 206 | $0.001 | $0.21 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.11 | $0.475 | $1 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 0.5Under | sell | 4.06 | $0.250 | $1.02 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 0.5Under | buy | 4.07 | $0.246 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 15.26 | $0.028 | $0.43 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.8 | $0.910 | $11.65 | Jun 20, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No | sell | 8.44 | $0.114 | $0.96 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes | sell | 5.55 | $0.320 | $1.78 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jun 20, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No | buy | 8.45 | $0.118 | $1 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.156 | $2 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.79 | $0.640 | $8.19 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.27 | $0.830 | $1.88 | Jun 19, 2026 |