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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | Yes | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2.85 | +$0.85 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5Under | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | 38m ago |
 |
| No |
| 3.25 |
| $0.610 |
| $2.81 |
| +$0.83 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 4.44 | $0.450 | $2.47 | +$0.47 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 4.88 | $0.410 | $2.22 | +$0.22 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2.16 | +$0.16 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | No | 2.53 | $0.810 | $2.16 | +$0.11 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August? | Yes | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2.1 | +$0.1 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | No | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2.06 | +$0.06 |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? | Yes | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 3.6 | $0.450 | $2 | +$0.38 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August? | No | 3.64 | $0.550 | $1.98 | -$0.02 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August? | Yes | 4.35 | $0.460 | $1.98 | -$0.02 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 2.03 | $0.780 | $1.96 | +$0.38 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August? | No | 4.35 | $0.460 | $1.74 | -$0.26 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | Yes | 2.86 | $0.660 | $1.68 | -$0.21 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 3.05 | $0.570 | $1.54 | -$0.2 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 3.05 | $0.620 | $1.51 | -$0.38 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 3.25 | $0.440 | $1.41 | -$0.02 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 3.05 | $0.560 | $1.39 | -$0.32 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 3 | $0.410 | $1.04 | -$0.19 |
| FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5 | Under | 7.14 | $0.140 | $0.89 | -$0.11 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6.36 | $0.220 | $0.41 | -$0.99 |
 Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6? | No | 5.13 | $0.390 | $0.02 | -$1.98 |
| sell |
| 3.03 |
| $0.200 |
| $0.61 |
| 1d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETDown | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | 1d ago |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.660 | $1.89 | 1d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | 2d ago |
 Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.29 | $0.943 | $6.87 | 4d ago |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 4?Down | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | 5d ago |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 Week of August 31 2026?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 4.44 | $0.450 | $2 | 6d ago |
 Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $340 Week of August 31 2026?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | 6d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | 7d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 4.88 | $0.410 | $2 | 7d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | 7d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | 8d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | 8d ago |
 Will Andy Burnham say "Starmer" during the next PMQ?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | 8d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | 9d ago |
 Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $328 Week of August 31 2026?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.620 | $2 | 9d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | 9d ago |
 Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | 10d ago |
| Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?No | buy | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | 10d ago |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | 10d ago |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?No | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | 10d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | 10d ago |
| Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | 11d ago |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | 11d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | 11d ago |
 Will Warsh say "Challenge" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Yes | buy | 2.99 | $0.670 | $2 | 12d ago |
| Will Warsh say "Good Day" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | 12d ago |
 Will Trump say "Communication" during remarks at NASA?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | 12d ago |
| Will Trump say "China" or "Chinese" during remarks at NASA?No | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | 13d ago |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.3 | $0.274 | $2 | 13d ago |
 Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | 14d ago |
 Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | 14d ago |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?Yes | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | 14d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in August 2026?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | 14d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | 15d ago |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $71 Week of August 24 2026?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.640 | $2 | 15d ago |
 Will there be fewer than 4 North Korea tests in August 2026?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | 15d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | 16d ago |
 Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | 16d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | 16d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?No | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | 17d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.71 | $0.298 | $2 | 17d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.9 | $0.202 | $2 | 17d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | 18d ago |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | 18d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | 18d ago |