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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?Yes | buy | 1.59K | $0.185 | $293.93 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 419.91 |
| $0.700 |
| $293.94 |
| Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 419.91 | $0.580 | $243.55 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | sell | 974.17 | $0.250 | $243.54 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 770.33 | $0.205 | $157.58 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?Yes | sell | 173.34 | $0.909 | $157.59 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 806.91 | $0.390 | $314.5 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Major cyberattack on Iran in June?Yes | sell | 315.13 | $0.998 | $314.5 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Major cyberattack on Iran in June?Yes | buy | 315.14 | $0.500 | $157.55 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | sell | 5.19K | $0.030 | $157.55 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 5.19K | $0.034 | $176.49 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 114.18 | $0.998 | $113.95 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 114.19 | $0.631 | $72 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 167.27 | $0.598 | $100 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will Iran declare war on Israel by Friday?No | buy | 62.24 | $0.964 | $60 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?Yes | sell | 22.12 | $0.953 | $21.08 | May 30, 2025 |
 50% tariff goes into effect on EU by June 1?No | sell | 28.16 | $0.995 | $28.02 | May 30, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $109K and $110K on May 25 at 5 PM ET?Yes | buy | 250.56 | $0.080 | $20 | May 25, 2025 |
| 50% tariff goes into effect on EU by June 1?No | buy | 28.17 | $0.710 | $20 | May 25, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?Yes | buy | 173.35 | $0.865 | $150 | May 25, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | buy | 8.67K | $0.115 | $1K | May 24, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | buy | 2.32K | $0.043 | $100 | May 24, 2025 |
| Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?Yes | buy | 22.12 | $0.904 | $20 | May 24, 2025 |