Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 1.63 | $0.957 | $1.62 | +$0.06 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.920 | $1.18 | 2d ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.38 |
| $0.910 |
| $1.34 |
| +$0.08 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 1.33 | $0.937 | $1.29 | +$0.04 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 1.44 | $0.890 | $1.23 | -$0.05 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 1.28 | $0.920 | $1.17 | -$0.01 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 2.02 | $0.876 | $0.81 | -$0.96 |
| buy |
| 1.44 |
| $0.890 |
| $1.28 |
| 13d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | buy | 1.57 | $0.930 | $1.46 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 1.38 | $0.910 | $1.26 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.970 | $1.26 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.876 | $1.77 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.63 | $0.957 | $1.56 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?Yes | buy | 3.67 | $0.790 | $2.9 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No | buy | 1.29 | $0.977 | $1.26 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.840 | $1.4 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.937 | $1.25 | May 29, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 5.64 | $0.929 | $5.24 | May 14, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 4.23 | $0.260 | $1.1 | May 9, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.71 | $0.480 | $1.3 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 5.2 | $0.990 | $5.15 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 5.16 | $0.969 | $5 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes | buy | 4.42 | $0.339 | $1.5 | Mar 30, 2026 |