Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 3.23 | $0.930 | $3.2 | +$0.2 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.930 | $3 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.19 |
| $0.840 |
| $1 |
| Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.65 | $0.992 | $6.6 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?No | buy | 1.55 | $0.976 | $1.51 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.970 | $2 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.36 | $0.735 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Dell say "AI Factory" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.930 | $1.16 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% or less in September?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.983 | $2 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Sep 19, 2025 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or less in August?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.951 | $1 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.976 | $1 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.968 | $1 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will a dozen eggs be above $6.00 in May?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | May 19, 2025 |
 Elon no longer world's richest before July?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.973 | $1 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Japan before July?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 400 or more times April 11–18?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Will Mark Carney lose his seat?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.938 | $1 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Will Elon go on Daily Show before April?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 Will TikTok be banned again before May?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.670 | $1.1 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 Will Sydney Sweeney break up with her fiancé before April?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 Will there be a streaker?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Feb 10, 2025 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Feb 10, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 550 or more times Jan 24-31?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.999 | $1.5 | Jan 28, 2025 |
 Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will US add less than 100k jobs in December 2024?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Will Dittman tweet between 110 and 119 times Jan 3-Jan 10?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.020 | $0.42 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Jan 5, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Dec 20-27?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.021 | $0.5 | Dec 26, 2024 |
 Bird flu declared public health emergency before April?No | buy | 1 | $0.800 | $0.8 | Dec 25, 2024 |
 100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before 2025?No | buy | 0.53 | $0.948 | $0.5 | Dec 25, 2024 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2025?No | buy | 0.62 | $0.972 | $0.6 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Megaquake in November?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.982 | $1.3 | Nov 24, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $60,000 on October 1?No | buy | 0.16 | $0.620 | $0.1 | Sep 12, 2024 |
 Ethereum above $2,400 on September 13?No | buy | 0.13 | $0.750 | $0.1 | Sep 12, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $55,000 on September 13?Yes | buy | 0.11 | $0.950 | $0.1 | Sep 12, 2024 |
 Will Trump launch a coin before the election?Yes | buy | 0.13 | $0.770 | $0.1 | Sep 12, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?No | buy | 0.2 | $0.982 | $0.2 | Sep 12, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?No | buy | 0.2 | $0.982 | $0.2 | Sep 12, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?No | buy | 0.26 | $0.780 | $0.2 | Sep 12, 2024 |
 2024 September hottest on record?No | buy | 0.21 | $0.940 | $0.2 | Sep 12, 2024 |
 Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Sep 30?No | buy | 0.22 | $0.890 | $0.2 | Sep 12, 2024 |
 Will there be 625-650 points scored NFL Week 2?No | buy | 0.22 | $0.920 | $0.2 | Sep 12, 2024 |