Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,500-$8,000 in December? | Yes | 8.46 | $0.210 | $1.86 | +$0.08 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?Yes | sell | 25.33 | $0.090 | $2.28 | 15d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 16.52 |
| $0.870 |
| $14.37 |
| 15d ago |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?Yes | sell | 479.12 | $0.580 | $277.89 | 15d ago |
 Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?No | sell | 355.03 | $0.900 | $319.53 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?No | sell | 400 | $0.920 | $368 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026?No | sell | 131.34 | $0.915 | $120.18 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.6K | $0.180 | $288 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?Yes | sell | 101.63 | $0.240 | $24.39 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.6K | $0.250 | $400 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be below 40.0 in June?No | sell | 125.16 | $0.906 | $113.39 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?Yes | buy | 301.04 | $0.350 | $105.36 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?Yes | buy | 96.68 | $0.710 | $68.64 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?Yes | buy | 406.2 | $0.360 | $146.23 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | sell | 2.66 | $0.670 | $1.78 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 823.16 | $0.862 | $709.56 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 DAX (DAX) Up or Down on June 8?Up | buy | 208.99 | $0.210 | $43.8 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be below 40.0 in June?No | buy | 80 | $0.839 | $67.12 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be below 40.0 in June?No | buy | 40 | $0.841 | $33.64 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be below 40.0 in June?No | buy | 98.61 | $0.838 | $82.64 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be below 40.0 in June?No | buy | 25 | $0.829 | $20.72 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be below 40.0 in June?No | buy | 6.72 | $0.828 | $5.56 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 56 | $0.851 | $47.66 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 600 | $0.830 | $498 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,500-$8,000 in December?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.210 | $7.35 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 8?No | buy | 300 | $0.050 | $15 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 8?No | buy | 535.99 | $0.040 | $21.44 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 301 | $0.500 | $150.5 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be below 40.0 in June?No | buy | 50 | $0.850 | $42.5 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be below 40.0 in June?No | buy | 69.3 | $0.850 | $58.9 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be below 40.0 in June?No | buy | 9.2 | $0.849 | $7.81 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 400 | $0.880 | $352 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Pietro Mastropasqua win the 2026 Molfetta mayoral election?Yes | sell | 454.39 | $0.440 | $199.93 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Manuel Flavio Minervini win the 2026 Molfetta mayoral election?No | sell | 177.08 | $0.440 | $77.92 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | sell | 400 | $0.820 | $328 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | sell | 400 | $0.820 | $328 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in June?Yes | buy | 306.97 | $0.140 | $42.98 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in June?Yes | buy | 237 | $0.130 | $30.81 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.850 | $170 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 698.12 | $0.821 | $573.16 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.850 | $170 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 400 | $0.820 | $328 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 158.79 | $0.809 | $128.47 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 36 | $0.810 | $29.16 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 65.33 | $0.811 | $52.98 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 353.34 | $0.700 | $247.34 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.832 | $41.6 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 158 | $0.830 | $131.14 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 582.47 | $0.840 | $489.27 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 702.79 | $0.710 | $498.98 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 160 | $0.460 | $73.6 | May 30, 2026 |