Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | No | 80 | $0.705 | $62.4 | +$6 |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | 11h ago |
![]() |
| No |
| 55.39 |
| $0.576 |
| $43.48 |
| +$11.56 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 46.6 | $0.822 | $43.01 | +$4.71 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.648 | $42.75 | +$10.35 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 40 | $0.820 | $37 | +$4.2 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 34.73 | $0.806 | $33.39 | +$5.39 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 33.53 | $0.832 | $32.27 | +$4.37 |
Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? | No | 29.99 | $0.893 | $29.36 | +$2.57 |
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 30 | $0.707 | $28.53 | +$7.33 |
Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 28.99 | $0.690 | $27.87 | +$7.87 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | No | 30 | $0.740 | $27.45 | +$5.25 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 23.81 | $0.630 | $22.02 | +$7.02 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 22.99 | $0.870 | $21.49 | +$1.49 |
Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31? | No | 20 | $0.790 | $19.1 | +$3.3 |
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | No | 19.99 | $0.880 | $18.88 | +$1.29 |
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.720 | $18.8 | +$4.4 |
Will BP be acquired before 2027? | No | 19.19 | $0.822 | $18.62 | +$2.84 |
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.788 | $18.56 | +$2.79 |
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 18.75 | $0.800 | $18.13 | +$3.13 |
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.820 | $17.5 | +$1.1 |
US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 20 | $0.800 | $17.1 | +$1.1 |
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? | No | 16.41 | $0.689 | $14.93 | +$3.63 |
Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 12.5 | $0.800 | $11.97 | +$1.97 |
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | No | 15 | $0.500 | $11.63 | +$4.13 |
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | No | 12 | $0.680 | $10.2 | +$2.04 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.610 |
| $6.1 |
| 11h ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | buy | 5 | $0.410 | $2.05 | 11h ago |
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.968 | $19.36 | 11h ago |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.430 | $4.3 | 11h ago |
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.300 | $6 | 11h ago |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.260 | $2.6 | 6d ago |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.780 | $7.8 | 6d ago |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.300 | $6 | 6d ago |
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by September 25, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | 6d ago |
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.869 | $8.69 | 6d ago |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.480 | $4.8 | 6d ago |
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 12 | $0.680 | $8.16 | 6d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.880 | $8.8 | 12d ago |
Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?No | buy | 9.99 | $0.940 | $9.39 | 12d ago |
Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027?No | sell | 11.49 | $0.992 | $11.4 | 13d ago |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 12 | $0.750 | $9 | 13d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.740 | $22.2 | 13d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.680 | $20.4 | 16d ago |
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | 19d ago |
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.710 | $28.4 | 20d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | 23d ago |
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.190 | $1.33 | 24d ago |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.330 | $3.3 | 24d ago |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 8.39 | $0.610 | $5.12 | 24d ago |
Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.963 | $38.52 | 29d ago |
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.700 | $7 | 29d ago |
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.700 | $7 | 29d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.690 | $10.35 | 29d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.820 | $8.2 | 29d ago |
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?No | buy | 15 | $0.500 | $7.5 | 29d ago |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | buy | 12 | $0.140 | $1.68 | 29d ago |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.520 | $10.4 | 29d ago |
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.700 | $14 | 29d ago |
Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.870 | $17.4 | 29d ago |
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be less than 0.0%?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.160 | $1.6 | Aug 7, 2026 |
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | buy | 10 | $0.550 | $5.5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.820 | $16.4 | Aug 7, 2026 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | Aug 7, 2026 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.640 | $3.2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 36.12 | $0.999 | $36.08 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.400 | $10 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?No | buy | 20.29 | $0.690 | $14 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.799 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?No | sell | 64 | $0.875 | $56 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.956 | $9.56 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 137.74 | $0.002 | $0.28 | Jun 19, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 |