Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 8.77 | $0.350 | $3.07 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 75 |
| $0.041 |
| $3.08 |
| Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Yes | sell | 82.73 | $0.990 | $81.9 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?No | sell | 21.81 | $0.996 | $21.72 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 11.23 | $0.993 | $11.15 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 79.36 | $0.005 | $0.4 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 27.02 | $0.995 | $26.88 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 13.69 | $0.997 | $13.65 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 25.64 | $0.996 | $25.54 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 23.8 | $0.005 | $0.12 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?No | sell | 20.51 | $0.995 | $20.41 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?No | sell | 52.52 | $0.989 | $51.94 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?No | sell | 10.86 | $0.993 | $10.78 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?Yes | sell | 58.82 | $0.130 | $7.65 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?No | buy | 20.51 | $0.975 | $20 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 82.73 | $0.967 | $80 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.780 | $20 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?No | buy | 21.81 | $0.917 | $20 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.740 | $20 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.840 | $20 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?No | buy | 52.52 | $0.952 | $50 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 157m and 167m?Yes | sell | 15.87 | $0.985 | $15.63 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Bryan Johnson say "Don’t Die" while tripping balls?Yes | sell | 20.61 | $0.999 | $20.59 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Bryan Johnson say "Goth Girl" while tripping balls?Yes | sell | 24.1 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Bryan Johnson say "Goth Girl" while tripping balls?Yes | buy | 24.11 | $0.830 | $20 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will Bryan Johnson say "Illegal" or "Experiment" while tripping balls?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.980 | $20 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will Bryan Johnson say "Erection" while tripping balls?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.740 | $20 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will Bryan Johnson say "Don’t Die" while tripping balls?Yes | buy | 20.62 | $0.970 | $20 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.280 | $21 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 157m and 167m?Yes | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 28.41 | $0.880 | $25 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on November 29?Down | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 79.37 | $0.063 | $5 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | Nov 28, 2025 |