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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 600 | $0.250 | $333 | +$183 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.1K | $0.005 | $10 | 15h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 27.38K |
| $0.009 |
| $232.74 |
| -$17.23 |
 Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? | Yes | 1.28K | $0.133 | $57.51 | -$112.49 |
 Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on September 9? | Yes | 13 | $0.140 | $8.97 | +$7.15 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.1K | $0.005 | $7.36 | -$2.64 |
 Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027? | Yes | 32.17 | $0.311 | $5.84 | -$4.16 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3.79K | $0.003 | $5.68 | -$3.8 |
 Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30? | Yes | 300 | $0.100 | $2.25 | -$27.75 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on September 9? | Yes | 50 | $0.060 | $1 | -$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 11? | Yes | 6.12 | $0.080 | $0.64 | +$0.15 |
 Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 11? | Yes | 5.44 | $0.090 | $0.41 | -$0.08 |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 11? | Yes | 7.44 | $0.060 | $0.22 | -$0.22 |
 Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 10? | Yes | 5 | $0.050 | $0.13 | -$0.13 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on September 11? | Yes | 1.52 | $0.070 | $0.08 | -$0.03 |
| buy |
| 50 |
| $0.060 |
| $3 |
| 16h ago |
 Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 130.43 | $0.100 | $13.04 | 1d ago |
 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | sell | 111.11 | $0.060 | $6.67 | 3d ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETUp | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | 4d ago |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | sell | 117.64 | $0.110 | $12.94 | 6d ago |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.79K | $0.003 | $9.48 | 6d ago |
 Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.29K | $0.008 | $10.65 | 7d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 2?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.020 | $2 | 8d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 23?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.021 | $0.17 | 17d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 23?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | 18d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 24?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | 18d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on August 22?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | 19d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 23?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | 19d ago |
 Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in August?Yes | buy | 35.8 | $0.070 | $2.5 | 19d ago |
 Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in August?Yes | buy | 6.99 | $0.180 | $1.26 | 19d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 22?Yes | buy | 7.18 | $0.270 | $1.94 | 19d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 19?Yes | buy | 15.14 | $0.220 | $3.33 | 21d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 20?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.180 | $0.9 | 21d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 19?No | buy | 10.65 | $0.280 | $2.98 | 21d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 20?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.150 | $1.76 | 22d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.091 | $100 | 22d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 1.42K | $0.102 | $145 | 23d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETDown | buy | 281.19 | $0.036 | $10 | 25d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETUp | buy | 40.6 | $0.246 | $10 | 25d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETDown | buy | 150.33 | $0.067 | $10 | 25d ago |
| Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.142 | $150 | 25d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 600 | $0.250 | $150 | 26d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 14?Yes | buy | 10.86 | $0.217 | $2.36 | 26d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 14?Yes | buy | 13.31 | $0.177 | $2.36 | 26d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 15?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.170 | $1.26 | 26d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 13?Yes | buy | 126 | $0.010 | $1.26 | 26d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 13?No | buy | 4.34 | $0.290 | $1.26 | 26d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 14?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.170 | $1.26 | 26d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 14?Yes | buy | 9.88 | $0.160 | $1.58 | 26d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on August 14?Yes | buy | 0.14 | $0.160 | $0.02 | 26d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 14?Yes | buy | 8.32 | $0.190 | $1.58 | 26d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 14?Yes | buy | 8.32 | $0.190 | $1.58 | 26d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 15?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.310 | $1.58 | 26d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on August 14?Yes | buy | 8.32 | $0.190 | $1.58 | 26d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 14?Yes | buy | 6.08 | $0.260 | $1.58 | 26d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 14?Yes | buy | 3.19 | $0.210 | $0.67 | 26d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 15?Yes | buy | 9.29 | $0.170 | $1.58 | 26d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 14?Yes | buy | 5.06 | $0.312 | $1.58 | 26d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 14?Yes | buy | 9.29 | $0.170 | $1.58 | 26d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 13?No | buy | 6.87 | $0.230 | $1.58 | 26d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 13?Yes | buy | 158 | $0.010 | $1.58 | 26d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 13?No | buy | 15.8 | $0.100 | $1.58 | 26d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on August 13?Yes | buy | 158 | $0.010 | $1.58 | 26d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 14?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.240 | $0.43 | 27d ago |