Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | Yes | 153.67 | $0.167 | $23.82 | -$1.86 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | buy | 112 | $0.140 | $15.68 | 2d ago |
 |
| No |
| 20.41 |
| $0.490 |
| $15.61 |
| +$5.61 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 16.95 | $0.590 | $12.46 | +$2.46 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 12.99 | $0.770 | $11.75 | +$1.75 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10.1 | +$0.1 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 13.7 | $0.730 | $9.79 | -$0.21 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 18.87 | $0.530 | $9.15 | -$0.85 |
 Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 68.06 | $0.162 | $6.47 | -$4.53 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? | Yes | 163.57 | $0.061 | $4.58 | -$5.42 |
| sell |
| 16.39 |
| $0.997 |
| $16.34 |
| 2d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | 12d ago |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Yes | buy | 163.57 | $0.061 | $10 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?Yes | buy | 13.08 | $0.760 | $9.94 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will United States win on 2026-07-01?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-22?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETUp | sell | 7.57 | $0.740 | $5.6 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETUp | buy | 7.58 | $0.660 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETUp | sell | 10 | $0.680 | $6.8 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETDown | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETDown | sell | 15.15 | $0.410 | $6.21 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETDown | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETUp | sell | 14.28 | $0.500 | $7.14 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETUp | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of June 15 2026?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.650 | $10 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Saigon Warriors (BO3) - Asia Masters Last Chance QualifierKT Rolster Challengers | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETDown | sell | 13.88 | $0.390 | $5.41 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETDown | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETDown | sell | 9.09 | $0.640 | $5.82 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETDown | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETUp | sell | 7.81 | $0.670 | $5.23 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETUp | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?Yes | sell | 27.02 | $0.993 | $26.83 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 23.29 | $0.079 | $1.84 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 23.81 | $0.420 | $10 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 US bank failure by June 30?Yes | sell | 13.8 | $0.123 | $1.69 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down on June 4?Down | sell | 11.68 | $0.983 | $11.48 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on June 4?Down | buy | 11.69 | $0.856 | $10 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ETDown | buy | 11.9 | $0.420 | $5 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| US bank failure by June 30?Yes | sell | 90.9 | $0.111 | $10.06 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on June 1?Down | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 16.3 | $0.614 | $10 | May 28, 2026 |
| US bank failure by June 30?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.480 | $10 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 54.35 | $0.184 | $10 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 18.87 | $0.530 | $10 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?No | buy | 36.11 | $0.277 | $10 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?No | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?No | buy | 10.98 | $0.911 | $10 | May 27, 2026 |