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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 4.72K | $0.850 | $4.08K | +$68.65 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.898 | $449 | 27d ago |
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| Yes |
| 3.27K |
| $0.870 |
| $2.86K |
| +$16.34 |
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 500 | $0.898 | $424.5 | -$24.5 |
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026? | No | 400 | $0.945 | $385.6 | +$7.6 |
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B? | Yes | 505 | $0.400 | $37.88 | -$164.13 |
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 1.09K | $0.129 | $1.63 | -$138.79 |
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 0.44 | $0.750 | $0.44 | +$0.11 |
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 0.45 | $0.514 | $0.43 | +$0.19 |
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 0.41 | $0.948 | $0.4 | +$0.01 |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 0.28 | $0.730 | $0.27 | +$0.07 |
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? | No | 0.25 | $0.778 | $0.25 | +$0.05 |
| sell |
| 9.06 |
| $0.890 |
| $8.06 |
| Jul 22, 2026 |
Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.2B?No | sell | 50 | $0.090 | $4.5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.880 | $13.2 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?No | buy | 9.99 | $0.890 | $8.89 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 66.67 | $0.988 | $65.87 | Apr 5, 2026 |
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 17-23?No | buy | 23.43 | $0.060 | $1.41 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 17-23?No | buy | 144.36 | $0.059 | $8.51 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 92 | $0.018 | $1.66 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 180.35 | $0.052 | $9.43 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 551.69 | $0.290 | $159.99 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?Yes | sell | 71.5 | $0.030 | $2.12 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?Yes | sell | 37 | $0.048 | $1.78 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?Yes | sell | 587.59 | $0.843 | $495.3 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | sell | 7.73K | $0.913 | $7.06K | Mar 14, 2026 |
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | sell | 114 | $0.913 | $104.08 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | sell | 4.71K | $0.915 | $4.31K | Mar 10, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 153.22 | $0.500 | $76.61 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.290 | $2.9 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 72 | $0.290 | $20.88 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.290 | $58 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 326.93 | $0.017 | $5.71 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 100 | $0.006 | $0.6 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?Yes | buy | 142.11 | $0.170 | $24.16 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?No | sell | 125.29 | $0.862 | $107.98 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?No | sell | 332.36 | $0.870 | $289.15 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?No | sell | 667.64 | $0.880 | $587.52 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?No | buy | 1K | $0.950 | $950 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?No | buy | 125.29 | $0.900 | $112.76 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 271.27 | $0.919 | $249.28 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.31K | $0.920 | $1.2K | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 946.53 | $0.921 | $871.75 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 18.6 | $0.113 | $2.1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 108.59 | $0.114 | $12.42 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.110 | $2.2 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.110 | $5.5 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.110 | $2.97 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 69.19 | $0.106 | $7.32 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on February 21?Yes | sell | 19.48 | $0.140 | $2.73 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on February 16?Yes | sell | 162 | $0.100 | $16.2 | Feb 14, 2026 |
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on February 16?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.397 | $13.9 | Feb 14, 2026 |
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on February 11?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.320 | $6.4 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No | buy | 679 | $0.948 | $643.54 | Feb 9, 2026 |
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 3-9?Yes | sell | 57.52 | $0.985 | $56.67 | Feb 9, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.490 | $49 | Feb 9, 2026 |
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 10.2K | $0.890 | $9.08K | Feb 6, 2026 |
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 1.3K | $0.890 | $1.16K | Feb 6, 2026 |
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 1.06K | $0.890 | $942.02 | Feb 6, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?Yes | buy | 71.5 | $0.013 | $0.93 | Feb 5, 2026 |