Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 90 | $0.180 | $20.7 | +$4.5 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.180 | $16.2 | 9d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 35.71 |
| $0.280 |
| $16.43 |
| +$6.43 |
 Iran leadership change by October 31? | Yes | 250 | $0.060 | $13.75 | -$1.25 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 150 | $0.070 | $11.25 | +$0.75 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 120 | $0.130 | $10.2 | -$5.4 |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | $0 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 60 | $0.170 | $9.24 | -$0.96 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 76.92 | $0.130 | $8.08 | -$1.92 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 10 | $0.720 | $7.95 | +$0.75 |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? | Yes | 425.71 | $0.034 | $7.66 | -$6.96 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | Yes | 360 | $0.028 | $3.78 | -$6.3 |
| buy |
| 35.71 |
| $0.280 |
| $10 |
| 9d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | 9d ago |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | 10d ago |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.060 | $15 | 10d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.150 | $9 | 17d ago |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.035 | $10 | 17d ago |
 Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | 26d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 31.74 | $0.278 | $8.82 | 26d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 31.75 | $0.315 | $10 | 26d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.070 | $10.5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.170 | $10.2 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.380 | $9.5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.631 | $6.31 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 46.48 | $0.215 | $10 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 24.32 | $0.150 | $3.65 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.32 | $0.206 | $5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?No | buy | 18 | $0.660 | $11.88 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No | sell | 11.23 | $0.954 | $10.71 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.330 | $9.9 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 11.22 | $0.991 | $11.12 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 22.42 | $0.223 | $5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?Yes | sell | 6.28 | $0.325 | $2.04 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?Yes | buy | 6.28 | $0.796 | $5 | May 26, 2026 |
 US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | May 25, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.048 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.014 | $0.07 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Forbidden City" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.010 | $0.05 | May 15, 2026 |
 Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?No | sell | 5 | $0.790 | $3.95 | May 14, 2026 |
 Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.113 | $0.57 | May 12, 2026 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
| Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?No | sell | 5 | $0.120 | $0.6 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.160 | $2.4 | May 9, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 31.25 | $0.990 | $30.94 | May 9, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 42.42 | $0.999 | $42.38 | May 9, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 33.6 | $0.999 | $33.57 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.040 | $1.2 | May 8, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | May 8, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.042 | $0.84 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.330 | $1.5 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 34.48 | $0.050 | $1.72 | May 6, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.27 | $0.074 | $1.5 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.75 | $0.050 | $0.59 | May 4, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.002 | $0.04 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.004 | $0.2 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 57.69 | $0.004 | $0.23 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.002 | $0.03 | Apr 30, 2026 |