Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 2.5K |
| $0.002 |
| $5 |
| Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.002 | $10 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.9K | $0.002 | $5.8 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 157.72 | $0.038 | $6.01 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 157.73 | $0.418 | $65.93 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 167.85 | $0.417 | $69.99 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 167.85 | $0.200 | $33.57 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? AND Will France win on 2026-07-14? | buy | 183.24 | $0.131 | $23.95 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceSwitzerland | buy | 90 | $0.270 | $24.3 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? AND Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | buy | 971 | $0.010 | $9.71 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.022 | $33 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.028 | $28 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 27.22 | $0.054 | $1.47 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?Yes | sell | 884.61 | $0.010 | $8.85 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 54.05 | $0.185 | $10 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 54.05 | $0.185 | $10 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 338.98 | $0.059 | $20 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 595.23 | $0.073 | $43.45 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 338.98 | $0.059 | $20 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?Yes | buy | 884.62 | $0.026 | $23 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Yes | buy | 80.65 | $0.620 | $50 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 806.45 | $0.062 | $50 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 497.08 | $0.171 | $85 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 87.14 | $0.540 | $47.06 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 595.24 | $0.084 | $50 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | sell | 161.43 | $0.580 | $93.63 | May 19, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 87.14 | $0.640 | $55.77 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.166 | $49.8 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 84.75 | $0.590 | $50 | May 6, 2026 |
 Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.580 | $58 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 76.69 | $0.740 | $56.75 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.170 | $21.25 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.330 | $16.5 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.330 | $16.5 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 131.19 | $0.100 | $13.1 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6AM ETDown | sell | 78.7 | $0.673 | $52.95 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6AM ETDown | buy | 78.7 | $0.400 | $31.48 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETDown | buy | 148.87 | $0.067 | $9.98 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-26?Yes | buy | 41.42 | $0.410 | $16.98 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.038 | $19 | Feb 26, 2026 |