Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 70.8 | $0.240 | $21.59 | +$4.6 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in August?Yes | buy | 53.3 | $0.150 | $7.99 | 1d ago |
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| Yes |
| 58.3 |
| $0.240 |
| $20.41 |
| +$6.41 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 44.1 | $0.330 | $14.33 | -$0.22 |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August? | No | 27.6 | $0.580 | $14.08 | -$1.93 |
Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 18.1 | $0.720 | $13.48 | +$0.45 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 22.6 | $0.520 | $12.09 | +$0.34 |
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 17.7 | $0.620 | $11.59 | +$0.62 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 18.3 | $0.600 | $10.16 | -$0.82 |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in August? | Yes | 53.3 | $0.150 | $5.86 | -$2.13 |
| buy |
| 17.7 |
| $0.620 |
| $10.97 |
| 2d ago |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Yes | buy | 43.8 | $0.320 | $14.02 | 6d ago |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 22.6 | $0.520 | $11.75 | 6d ago |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 18.1 | $0.720 | $13.03 | 7d ago |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 18.3 | $0.600 | $10.98 | 7d ago |
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?No | sell | 28.3 | $0.324 | $9.16 | 9d ago |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 18.2 | $0.450 | $8.19 | 9d ago |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 19.7 | $0.450 | $8.87 | 9d ago |
US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?Yes | sell | 23.9 | $0.002 | $0.05 | 9d ago |
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Yes | sell | 19.8 | $0.001 | $0.02 | 9d ago |
US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 23.9 | $0.710 | $16.97 | 12d ago |
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 19.8 | $0.800 | $15.84 | 12d ago |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August?No | buy | 27.6 | $0.580 | $16.01 | 16d ago |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in August?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.030 | $3 | 17d ago |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August?Yes | buy | 41.91 | $0.240 | $10.06 | 17d ago |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August?Yes | sell | 29.4 | $0.120 | $3.53 | 18d ago |
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?Yes | buy | 34.1 | $0.440 | $15 | 18d ago |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in August?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | 19d ago |
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 28.3 | $0.600 | $16.98 | 20d ago |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August?Yes | buy | 29.4 | $0.340 | $10 | 23d ago |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 18.2 | $0.760 | $13.83 | 25d ago |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 19.7 | $0.750 | $14.77 | 25d ago |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 20.3 | $0.760 | $15.43 | 26d ago |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 20.3 | $0.680 | $13.8 | 27d ago |
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?Yes | sell | 33.29 | $0.999 | $33.26 | 28d ago |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 19.7 | $0.750 | $14.77 | 29d ago |
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?Yes | sell | 52.2 | $0.116 | $6.04 | Aug 10, 2026 |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.630 | $17.01 | Aug 10, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 44.1 | $0.330 | $14.55 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 70.8 | $0.240 | $16.99 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 31.2 | $0.670 | $20.9 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 30.6 | $0.640 | $19.58 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 30.6 | $0.490 | $14.99 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will annual inflation be 3.1% or less in July?Yes | buy | 433.3 | $0.023 | $9.82 | Aug 6, 2026 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?No | sell | 35.7 | $0.240 | $8.57 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Yes | sell | 69.2 | $0.060 | $4.15 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?Yes | buy | 33.29 | $0.420 | $13.98 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?Yes | buy | 52.2 | $0.230 | $12.01 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 37.5 | $0.390 | $14.63 | Aug 1, 2026 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 35.7 | $0.410 | $14.64 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?Yes | buy | 39.5 | $0.300 | $11.85 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 31.2 | $0.470 | $14.66 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 21 | $0.999 | $20.98 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 18.39 | $0.999 | $18.37 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Yes | buy | 69.2 | $0.130 | $9 | Jul 28, 2026 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?No | sell | 35.7 | $0.240 | $8.57 | Jul 26, 2026 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 46.7 | $0.300 | $14.01 | Jul 26, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 21 | $0.802 | $16.84 | Jul 26, 2026 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 35.7 | $0.410 | $14.64 | Jul 26, 2026 |