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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 69.59 | $0.719 | $54.63 | +$4.63 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | Jun 7, 2026 |
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| No |
| 26.04 |
| $0.768 |
| $24.87 |
| +$4.87 |
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | No | 22.22 | $0.900 | $21.67 | +$1.67 |
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 21.05 | $0.950 | $20.85 | +$0.85 |
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | No | 16.67 | $0.600 | $14.42 | +$4.42 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 14.29 | $0.700 | $12.21 | +$2.21 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 12.99 | $0.770 | $12.14 | +$2.14 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 12.35 | $0.810 | $11.54 | +$1.54 |
Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 12.66 | $0.790 | $11.46 | +$1.46 |
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | No | 11.9 | $0.840 | $11.02 | +$1.02 |
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | No | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10.75 | +$0.75 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10.33 | +$0.33 |
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 12.66 | $0.790 | $8.92 | -$1.08 |
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31? | Yes | 32.26 | $0.310 | $4.19 | -$5.81 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 25.64 | $0.390 | $3.46 | -$6.54 |
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 47.62 | $0.210 | $1.02 | -$8.98 |
| buy |
| 12.35 |
| $0.810 |
| $10 |
| Jun 7, 2026 |
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on June 8?No | buy | 11.18 | $0.894 | $10 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?Yes | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | Jun 7, 2026 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | Jun 7, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.44 | $0.958 | $10 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Yes | buy | 10.59 | $0.944 | $10 | May 22, 2026 |
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | May 22, 2026 |
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Yes | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | May 22, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 19.36 | $0.517 | $10 | May 22, 2026 |
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.978 | $5 | May 22, 2026 |
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | May 22, 2026 |
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | May 22, 2026 |
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | May 22, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 4?Yes | buy | 10.98 | $0.455 | $5 | May 3, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | May 3, 2026 |
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?Yes | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | May 3, 2026 |
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | May 3, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | May 3, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10 | May 3, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 35.09 | $0.570 | $20 | May 3, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.2 | $0.820 | $10 | May 3, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | May 3, 2026 |
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?Yes | buy | 12.12 | $0.825 | $10 | May 3, 2026 |
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?Yes | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | May 3, 2026 |
Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 12.66 | $0.790 | $10 | May 3, 2026 |
Clavicular unbanned from Youtube by April 30?No | buy | 21.35 | $0.930 | $19.86 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 11.22 | $0.891 | $10 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsTeam Falcons | buy | 18.34 | $0.530 | $9.72 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Apr 23, 2026 |
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 12.66 | $0.790 | $10 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Apr 23, 2026 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsAurora | buy | 11.4 | $0.870 | $9.92 | Apr 23, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 15.63 | $0.640 | $10 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | Apr 22, 2026 |
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | Apr 22, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | Apr 22, 2026 |
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | Apr 22, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 20.94 | $0.478 | $10 | Apr 22, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 17.66 | $0.566 | $10 | Apr 22, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 21.05 | $0.950 | $20 | Apr 22, 2026 |