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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US-Iran nuclear deal before August?No | buy | 6.05 | $0.991 | $6 | Jul 23, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 5.18 |
| $0.966 |
| $5 |
| Jul 23, 2025 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by July 31?No | buy | 11.12 | $0.989 | $11 | Jul 23, 2025 |
Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.980 | $3 | Jul 23, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 4.11 | $0.973 | $4 | Apr 1, 2025 |
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.996 | $6 | Apr 1, 2025 |
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.988 | $5 | Feb 25, 2025 |
Will Dragan Primorac be the next President of Croatia?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.982 | $1 | Dec 31, 2024 |
Aleo airdrop in 2024?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Dec 31, 2024 |
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Dec 31, 2024 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by March 31?Yes | sell | 2.22 | $0.310 | $0.69 | Dec 31, 2024 |
Will the Washington Wizards win the Eastern Conference?No | buy | 6.27 | $0.997 | $6.25 | Dec 17, 2024 |
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.976 | $1 | Dec 17, 2024 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.180 | $0.4 | Dec 17, 2024 |
Will the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025?No | buy | 7.4 | $0.991 | $7.33 | Nov 25, 2024 |
Bitcoin above $100,000 on November 29?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Nov 25, 2024 |
Will Villarreal CF win La Liga?No | buy | 7.44 | $0.998 | $7.43 | Nov 25, 2024 |
Bitcoin up on Nov 6?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Nov 1, 2024 |
Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Nov 1, 2024 |
September temperature increase by between 1.17-1.22°C?No | buy | 3.02 | $0.995 | $3 | Oct 7, 2024 |
Rachel Lord announced as next BlackRock CEO?No | buy | 5 | $0.998 | $4.99 | Oct 7, 2024 |
Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross between $48-54m opening weekend?No | buy | 8 | $0.999 | $7.99 | Oct 7, 2024 |
Will RFK Jr. win 6-7% of the popular vote?Yes | buy | 7.88K | $0.002 | $15.76 | Oct 7, 2024 |
Will Michelle Obama be D-nom for VP on Election Day?No | buy | 9.02 | $0.998 | $9 | Oct 7, 2024 |