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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 6.52K | $0.919 | $6.02K | +$27.38 |
 Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.660 | $3.44 | 14h ago |
|
| No |
| 3.27K |
| $0.897 |
| $2.98K |
| +$42.88 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | No | 2.38K | $0.979 | $2.35K | +$20.26 |
 Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? | No | 2.33K | $0.892 | $2.19K | +$115.74 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | No | 2.09K | $0.931 | $1.99K | +$42.5 |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? | No | 1.47K | $0.977 | $1.46K | +$15.55 |
 Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? | No | 1.43K | $0.816 | $1.25K | +$85.1 |
 NATO article 5 before 2027? | No | 1.04K | $0.923 | $980.67 | +$21.51 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | No | 1.05K | $0.913 | $977.37 | +$23.37 |
 New pandemic in 2026? | No | 600 | $0.930 | $567 | +$9 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | No | 604.16 | $0.884 | $558.85 | +$24.93 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? | No | 625.25 | $0.658 | $437.68 | +$26.07 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 400 | $0.860 | $358 | +$14 |
 Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026? | No | 222.09 | $0.913 | $205.43 | +$2.63 |
 Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | No | 105.82 | $0.870 | $92.59 | +$0.53 |
 Will Xi meet with Takaichi by September 30, 2026? | No | 36 | $0.973 | $35.1 | +$0.07 |
 US x China Military clash before 2027? | No | 4.09 | $0.900 | $3.92 | +$0.24 |
 Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 22.24 | $0.022 | $0.58 | +$0.08 |
 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | No | 0.14 | $0.950 | $0.13 | +$0.01 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.660 |
| $6.6 |
| 14h ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 185.36 | $0.653 | $121.03 | 14h ago |
| New pandemic before 2028?No | sell | 291.07 | $0.863 | $251.31 | 14h ago |
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?No | sell | 333 | $0.945 | $314.54 | 14h ago |
| Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.899 | $35.96 | 19h ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.890 | $40.45 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 224.69 | $0.670 | $150.54 | 1d ago |
 Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 8?No | sell | 100 | $0.021 | $2.05 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?No | buy | 102.5 | $0.983 | $100.78 | 1d ago |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 200 | $0.928 | $185.6 | 2d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 505.77 | $0.960 | $485.54 | 2d ago |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 105 | $0.913 | $95.87 | 2d ago |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 137 | $0.915 | $125.32 | 2d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 194.66 | $0.960 | $186.87 | 2d ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 5?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.990 | $79.2 | 2d ago |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.915 | $9.15 | 2d ago |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 44.7 | $0.910 | $40.69 | 2d ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 5?Yes | buy | 9.16 | $0.999 | $9.15 | 2d ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 4?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.990 | $89.1 | 2d ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 4?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.990 | $28.71 | 2d ago |
| Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?No | sell | 46.21 | $0.901 | $41.64 | 3d ago |
| Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.901 | $90.1 | 3d ago |
| Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?No | sell | 16.4 | $0.903 | $14.81 | 3d ago |
| Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.901 | $36.06 | 3d ago |
| Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.947 | $9.47 | 3d ago |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 50 | $0.932 | $46.6 | 3d ago |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?No | buy | 13 | $0.974 | $12.66 | 3d ago |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?No | buy | 84.52 | $0.973 | $82.2 | 3d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | sell | 262.61 | $0.982 | $257.88 | 3d ago |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.971 | $38.84 | 3d ago |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.971 | $38.84 | 3d ago |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?No | buy | 39.99 | $0.972 | $38.87 | 3d ago |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?No | buy | 39.99 | $0.972 | $38.87 | 3d ago |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?No | buy | 47.8 | $0.971 | $46.42 | 3d ago |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.971 | $38.84 | 3d ago |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.058 | $4.64 | 3d ago |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.044 | $4.87 | 3d ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 4?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.997 | $997 | 4d ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on September 4?No | buy | 0.6 | $0.996 | $0.6 | 4d ago |
 Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 5?No | sell | 3.34 | $0.050 | $0.17 | 4d ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 5?No | sell | 16.66 | $0.060 | $1 | 4d ago |
| New pandemic before 2028?No | buy | 117.39 | $0.730 | $85.69 | 4d ago |
| New pandemic before 2028?No | buy | 20.4 | $0.740 | $15.1 | 4d ago |
| New pandemic before 2028?No | buy | 99.28 | $0.732 | $72.67 | 5d ago |
| New pandemic before 2028?No | buy | 74 | $0.725 | $53.62 | 5d ago |
 Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 4?No | sell | 21.96 | $0.020 | $0.44 | 5d ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 4?No | sell | 100.36 | $0.021 | $2.07 | 5d ago |
 Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 3?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | 5d ago |
 Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on September 4?No | sell | 7.69 | $0.400 | $3.08 | 5d ago |