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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No | sell | 1.22 | $0.979 | $1.19 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.26 |
| $0.960 |
| $1.21 |
| Aug 6, 2026 |
 US military draft authorized in 2026?No | sell | 1.65 | $0.949 | $1.57 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US military draft authorized in 2026?No | buy | 1.65 | $0.943 | $1.56 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.965 | $1.18 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.971 | $1.23 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 9.55 | $0.407 | $3.89 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 11.52 | $0.580 | $6.68 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Yes | buy | 6.83 | $0.600 | $4.1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?No | buy | 9.83 | $0.800 | $7.86 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 1.18 | $0.951 | $1.12 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?No | sell | 1.48 | $0.981 | $1.45 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.975 | $1.45 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.994 | $1.24 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.939 | $1.11 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by June 30?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.990 | $1.24 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.930 | $1.26 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.998 | $1.16 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.35K | $0.001 | $5.35 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.56K | $0.001 | $5.56 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.78K | $0.001 | $5.78 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 6.01K | $0.001 | $6.01 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 6.24K | $0.001 | $6.24 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.39K | $0.001 | $2.39 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 6.53K | $0.001 | $6.53 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.67K | $0.001 | $3.67 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.6K | $0.001 | $5.6 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.25K | $0.001 | $2.25 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 7.4K | $0.001 | $7.4 | May 25, 2026 |
 Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 2.19 | $0.311 | $0.68 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?Yes | sell | 1.14 | $0.989 | $1.13 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?Yes | sell | 1.46 | $0.920 | $1.34 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.73 | $0.999 | $1.73 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 2.19 | $0.698 | $1.53 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on February 28?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.994 | $1.22 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump deport 1,500,000-1,750,000 people?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.999 | $1.54 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.993 | $1.05 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?Yes | buy | 1.46 | $0.910 | $1.33 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.73 | $0.970 | $1.68 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | buy | 1.4 | $0.936 | $1.31 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.969 | $1.33 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 1.21 | $0.950 | $1.15 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.997 | $1.35 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by January 31?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.970 | $1.24 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.46 | $0.989 | $1.44 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.910 | $1.11 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 1.31 | $0.930 | $1.22 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will the Buffalo Bills make the playoffs?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.995 | $1.15 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.940 | $1.16 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast hit 103.5 billion views by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.996 | $1.27 | Dec 7, 2025 |