Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | No | 37.98 | $0.184 | $18.8 | +$11.8 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.690 | $3 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 20.26 |
| $0.570 |
| $16.72 |
| +$5.17 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 16.95 | $0.590 | $12.8 | +$2.8 |
 Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | No | 11.32 | $0.265 | $10.01 | +$7.01 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 14.23 | $0.710 | $9.89 | -$0.21 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 23.08 | $0.130 | $6.69 | +$3.69 |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | No | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5.35 | +$0.35 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5.3 | +$0.3 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 19? | Yes | 10 | $0.500 | $4.5 | -$0.5 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.650 | $3.63 | +$0.38 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 16.13 | $0.310 | $3.31 | -$1.69 |
 Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 45.45 | $0.110 | $3.18 | -$1.82 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | No | 4.35 | $0.690 | $2.83 | -$0.17 |
 Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting? | Yes | 48.5 | $0.062 | $1.43 | -$1.57 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1.24 | +$0.24 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30? | No | 4.13 | $0.242 | $1.21 | +$0.21 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 4 | $0.250 | $0.86 | -$0.14 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | No | 15.63 | $0.320 | $0.51 | -$4.49 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.650 |
| $3.25 |
| 1d ago |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 33.34 | $0.160 | $5.33 | 5d ago |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?No | buy | 4.13 | $0.242 | $1 | 6d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | 7d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.420 | $10 | 8d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 23.08 | $0.130 | $3 | 9d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | 9d ago |
| Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?No | buy | 11.32 | $0.265 | $3 | 9d ago |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | 11d ago |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | sell | 27.03 | $0.770 | $20.81 | 11d ago |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | sell | 28.57 | $0.450 | $12.86 | 15d ago |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by August 31?No | buy | 13.8 | $0.725 | $10 | 17d ago |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | 17d ago |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | 19d ago |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by August 31?No | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | 25d ago |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?No | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | 25d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | 25d ago |
 NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?No | buy | 13.11 | $0.076 | $1 | 25d ago |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by August 31?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | 25d ago |
 Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?No | buy | 21.06 | $0.142 | $3 | 26d ago |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?No | buy | 11.77 | $0.085 | $1 | 27d ago |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on August 14, 2026?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | 28d ago |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | 28d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?Yes | buy | 48.5 | $0.062 | $3 | 29d ago |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 14, 2026?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | 29d ago |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | 29d ago |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?No | sell | 110 | $0.870 | $95.7 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 12.99 | $0.200 | $2.6 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.140 | $2.8 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 15 | $0.130 | $1.95 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.343 | $6.86 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 15 | $0.460 | $6.9 | Aug 12, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.570 | $2.85 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.570 | $5.7 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.570 | $3 | Aug 12, 2026 |
 Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by August 9, 2026?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by August 9, 2026?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by August 9, 2026?No | sell | 16.76 | $0.074 | $1.25 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by August 9, 2026?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by August 9, 2026?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by August 9, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | buy | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10 | Aug 5, 2026 |