Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 251.86 | $0.854 | $244.3 | +$29.3 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | May 9, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 106.01 |
| $0.849 |
| $102.46 |
| +$12.46 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 89.36 | $0.727 | $83.55 | +$18.55 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 66.05 | $0.908 | $63.54 | +$3.54 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 56.57 | $0.442 | $47.8 | +$22.8 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 35.31 | $0.850 | $33.37 | +$3.37 |
 NATO dissolves before 2027? | No | 32.61 | $0.920 | $32.07 | +$2.07 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 26.98 | $0.853 | $25.72 | +$2.72 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 22.47 | $0.890 | $22.33 | +$2.33 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 23.53 | $0.850 | $21.94 | +$1.94 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 20.79 | $0.962 | $20.49 | +$0.49 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 16.67 | $0.900 | $15.58 | +$0.58 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | No | 15.74 | $0.953 | $15.42 | +$0.42 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 15.17 | $0.659 | $12.89 | +$2.89 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 11.76 | $0.850 | $11.42 | +$1.42 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 11.76 | $0.850 | $11.24 | +$1.24 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10.87 | +$0.87 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 11.24 | $0.889 | $10.69 | +$0.69 |
 US x China Military clash before 2027? | No | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10.64 | +$0.64 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | No | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10.59 | +$0.59 |
 Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? | No | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10.45 | +$0.45 |
 Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? | No | 10.48 | $0.954 | $10.37 | +$0.37 |
 AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? | Yes | 25.32 | $0.790 | $2.91 | -$17.09 |
| buy |
| 10.28 |
| $0.973 |
| $10 |
| May 9, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 18.07 | $0.830 | $15 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 10.22 | $0.978 | $10 | May 6, 2026 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.870 | $3 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 5.29 | $0.945 | $5 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.390 | $3 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?No | buy | 5.19 | $0.963 | $5 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.07 | $0.986 | $5 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | buy | 19.05 | $0.420 | $8 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?No | buy | 10.4 | $0.962 | $10 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?No | buy | 5.2 | $0.961 | $5 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Bahrain strike Iran by April 30?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.959 | $5 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?No | buy | 3.95 | $0.760 | $3 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?No | buy | 2.2 | $0.908 | $2 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.37 | $0.964 | $10 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 10.94 | $0.914 | $10 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?No | buy | 10.38 | $0.963 | $10 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?No | buy | 10.16 | $0.984 | $10 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 10.45 | $0.957 | $10 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?No | buy | 10.48 | $0.954 | $10 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 13.51 | $0.740 | $10 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 10.44 | $0.958 | $10 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.37 | $0.964 | $10 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.440 | $20 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | buy | 25.32 | $0.790 | $20 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?No | buy | 22.09 | $0.905 | $20 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 10.32 | $0.969 | $10 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by June 30?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.820 | $20 | Apr 3, 2026 |