Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Larry Page be richest person on December 31?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.997 | $1.01 | 7d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 1.06 |
| $0.958 |
| $1.02 |
| 7d ago |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.968 | $1.02 | 7d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.930 | $1.06 | 7d ago |
 Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?No | sell | 1.2 | $0.908 | $1.09 | 7d ago |
 Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 1.26 | $0.995 | $1.25 | 7d ago |
 Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31?No | sell | 1.57 | $0.976 | $1.53 | 7d ago |
 Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31?No | sell | 1.78 | $0.997 | $1.77 | 7d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 1.9 | $0.996 | $1.89 | 7d ago |
 Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?Yes | sell | 2.09 | $0.924 | $1.93 | 7d ago |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 3.52 | $0.800 | $2.82 | 7d ago |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | sell | 2.93 | $0.979 | $2.87 | 7d ago |
 Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?Yes | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Yes | buy | 2.61 | $0.941 | $2.46 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 2.15 | $0.932 | $2 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.949 | $1.25 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31?No | buy | 1.58 | $0.920 | $1.45 | May 7, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETUp | buy | 6.44 | $0.830 | $5.35 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETDown | buy | 111.44 | $0.585 | $65.16 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETDown | buy | 15.47 | $0.610 | $9.44 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETDown | buy | 31.9 | $0.590 | $18.82 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.987 | $1.01 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.890 | $1.07 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETUp | buy | 68.01 | $0.550 | $37.41 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETUp | buy | 17.29 | $0.540 | $9.34 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETUp | buy | 13.39 | $0.716 | $9.59 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETUp | buy | 13.17 | $0.730 | $9.61 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.958 | $2.45 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETUp | buy | 77.97 | $0.990 | $77.19 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.996 | $2.55 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?Yes | buy | 3.02 | $0.995 | $3 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Claude go down 9-10 times in March?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be less than 3m?Yes | buy | 2.91 | $0.986 | $2.87 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will a hurricane form by May 31?No | buy | 4.2 | $0.940 | $3.95 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 160m and 170m?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.969 | $2.94 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.972 | $3.6 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 16?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.979 | $1.92 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be 77°F or below on March 16?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.990 | $1.62 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 1.91 | $0.960 | $1.83 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31?No | buy | 1.78 | $0.986 | $1.76 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Larry Page be richest person on December 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 |