Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 18.52 | $0.270 | $3.06 | -$1.94 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 1.51 | $0.801 | $1.21 | Jul 20, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 3.7 |
| $0.540 |
| $1.89 |
| -$0.11 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 2.23 | $0.895 | $1.84 | -$0.16 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 3.23 | $0.310 | $0.76 | -$0.24 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 9.12 | $0.439 | $0.68 | -$3.32 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 22.22 | $0.045 | $0.43 | -$0.57 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.120 | $0.31 | -$0.69 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 7.69 | $0.130 | $0.3 | -$0.7 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 6.67 | $0.150 | $0.21 | -$0.79 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Yes | 2.56 | $0.390 | $0.21 | -$0.79 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | Yes | 4.17 | $0.240 | $0.19 | -$0.81 |
 Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? | Yes | 2.56 | $0.390 | $0.13 | -$0.87 |
| buy |
| 18.52 |
| $0.270 |
| $5 |
| Jul 20, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 68.49 | $0.146 | $10 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 119.25 | $0.042 | $5 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.92 | $0.480 | $11 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.49 | $0.930 | $1.39 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 10.75 | $0.159 | $1.71 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.04 | $0.730 | $1.49 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?Yes | sell | 5.26 | $0.330 | $1.74 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.44 | $0.580 | $2 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | sell | 7.63 | $0.684 | $5.22 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?No | sell | 3.71 | $0.513 | $1.9 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will the US capture Khamenei before 2027?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Reza Pahlavi by January 31?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday?Yes | buy | 14.49 | $0.069 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Maduro out by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.999 | $8.32 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Jan 1, 2026 |