Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 8.22 | $0.730 | $6 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 10.17 |
| $0.590 |
| $6 |
| Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?Yes | buy | 26.92 | $0.743 | $20 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Waymo launch in London by June 30 2026?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.430 | $10 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 44.81 | $0.112 | $5 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 83 | $0.285 | $23.7 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 33.56 | $0.050 | $1.67 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will Newcastle United advance to the round of 16?Yes | sell | 8.47 | $0.417 | $3.53 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 33.56 | $0.149 | $5 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 28.97 | $0.150 | $4.35 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 14.7 | $0.630 | $9.26 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?No | buy | 428.57 | $0.007 | $3 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.044 | $2 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025?Yes | buy | 42.55 | $0.047 | $2 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 13.1 | $0.229 | $3 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 37.31 | $0.447 | $16.68 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 15.87 | $0.189 | $3 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No | sell | 78.43 | $0.490 | $38.43 | Nov 8, 2025 |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No | buy | 78.43 | $0.510 | $40 | Nov 8, 2025 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 83 | $0.120 | $10 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 37.31 | $0.536 | $20 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 144.92 | $0.095 | $13.81 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 144.93 | $0.069 | $10 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.310 | $15.5 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?Yes | sell | 30.76 | $0.019 | $0.58 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | sell | 15.38 | $0.350 | $5.38 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 230.77 | $0.013 | $3 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | sell | 59.52 | $0.253 | $15.06 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?Yes | buy | 30.77 | $0.130 | $4 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?Yes | sell | 103.62 | $0.258 | $26.73 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.024 | $3 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 244.31 | $0.050 | $12.22 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.110 | $20 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 59.52 | $0.084 | $5 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will Newcastle United advance to the round of 16?Yes | buy | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.520 | $8 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser by October 31?No | sell | 41.84 | $0.510 | $21.34 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Zuckerberg divorce in 2025?Yes | sell | 199.36 | $0.031 | $6.21 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will the US add between 0 and 25k jobs in September?Yes | sell | 41.66 | $0.440 | $18.33 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will the US add between 50k and 75k jobs in September?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.127 | $7.07 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?Yes | buy | 103.63 | $0.193 | $20 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Larry Ellison be richest person on September 30?Yes | sell | 60.87 | $0.120 | $7.3 | Sep 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in September?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| Zuckerberg divorce in 2025?Yes | buy | 199.36 | $0.025 | $5 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser by October 31?No | buy | 41.84 | $0.478 | $20 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser by September 30?No | buy | 26.67 | $0.750 | $20 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| Will the US add between 50k and 75k jobs in September?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Sep 12, 2025 |