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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 85.4 | $0.858 | $74.72 | +$1.48 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 84.93 | $0.840 | $71.34 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 84.93 |
| $0.840 |
| $72.62 |
| +$1.27 |
 Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31? | Yes | 181.59 | $0.366 | $69.91 | +$3.39 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 77.35 | $0.650 | $51.44 | +$1.16 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | No | 36.43 | $0.761 | $26.41 | -$1.3 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 22.45 | $0.750 | $17.4 | +$0.56 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 111.35 | $0.140 | $15.03 | -$0.56 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500? | No | 10 | $0.720 | $7.35 | +$0.15 |
| buy |
| 77.34 |
| $0.650 |
| $50.27 |
| 1d ago |
| Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31?Yes | buy | 16.73 | $0.330 | $5.52 | 2d ago |
 Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?SPD | buy | 21.73 | $0.480 | $10.43 | 2d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 65.63 | $0.860 | $56.44 | 3d ago |
 Will Iran target Oman by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 26.48 | $0.930 | $24.63 | 5d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 21.1 | $0.870 | $18.36 | 5d ago |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 44.15 | $0.840 | $37.09 | 5d ago |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | sell | 259.77 | $0.880 | $228.6 | 5d ago |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | sell | 21.66 | $0.810 | $17.54 | 5d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 20.94 | $0.810 | $16.96 | 5d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 234.73 | $0.860 | $201.87 | 5d ago |
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?No | sell | 12.67 | $0.851 | $10.78 | 5d ago |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.770 | $7.7 | 5d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 142.37 | $0.730 | $103.93 | 5d ago |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | sell | 72.51 | $0.870 | $63.08 | 5d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 253.92 | $0.130 | $33.01 | 5d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 39.56 | $0.870 | $34.42 | 5d ago |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?No | buy | 12.68 | $0.919 | $11.65 | 5d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 44.94 | $0.140 | $6.29 | 7d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 68.05 | $0.200 | $13.61 | 7d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?No | buy | 76.61 | $0.990 | $75.84 | 9d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 142.38 | $0.690 | $98.24 | 11d ago |
 Andrew Tate released from custody by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 999.99 | $0.006 | $6 | 12d ago |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.51K | $0.007 | $10.28 | 12d ago |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 237.71 | $0.008 | $1.94 | 12d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.09 | $0.550 | $2.8 | 19d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.6 | $0.430 | $3.27 | 19d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.510 | $2.6 | 19d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | 19d ago |