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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.250 | $3.8 | +$1.3 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.590 | $5.9 | 15d ago |
 |
| No |
| 5 |
| $0.550 |
| $2.53 |
| -$0.23 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 5 | $0.550 | $2.43 | -$0.33 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 5 | $0.430 | $1.78 | -$0.38 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.300 | $1.08 | -$0.43 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | Yes | 5 | $0.400 | $0.55 | -$1.45 |
 Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 72.15 | $0.042 | $0.11 | -$2.89 |
| sell |
| 15 |
| $0.495 |
| $7.43 |
| 15d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5.17 | $0.710 | $3.67 | 28d ago |
| Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.500 | $7.5 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in June?Yes | buy | 9.33 | $0.140 | $1.31 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.17 | $0.580 | $3 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.940 | $18.8 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?Yes | sell | 4.83 | $0.290 | $1.4 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in May?Yes | buy | 9.76 | $0.205 | $2 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?Yes | buy | 14.66 | $0.273 | $4 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 7.77 | $0.679 | $5.28 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Yes | sell | 20.19 | $0.490 | $9.89 | May 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No | sell | 5 | $0.180 | $0.9 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | May 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the May Meeting?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.016 | $2 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 287.04 | $0.025 | $7.18 | May 14, 2026 |
 Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.81 | $0.230 | $1.57 | May 14, 2026 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 9.09 | $0.260 | $2.36 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 182.73 | $0.011 | $2 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 72.14 | $0.042 | $3 | May 13, 2026 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | May 12, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.82 | $0.440 | $3 | May 11, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 6.45 | $0.150 | $0.97 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will Powell say "No Comment" during April press conference?Yes | buy | 9.9 | $0.202 | $2 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Balance Sheet" during April press conference?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "King" during King Charles visit?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.100 | $1.5 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.090 | $3 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Leavitt say "Very clear" during the next White House press briefing?Yes | buy | 5.93 | $0.485 | $2.88 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will Leavitt say "Commander-in-Chief" during the next White House press briefing?Yes | buy | 14.04 | $0.200 | $2.81 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?Yes | sell | 5.08 | $0.870 | $4.42 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.400 | $4 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?Yes | buy | 64 | $0.047 | $3 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?Yes | buy | 150.5 | $0.020 | $3 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?Yes | buy | 5.08 | $0.590 | $3 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 115.78 | $0.026 | $3 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April?Yes | buy | 18.75 | $0.160 | $3 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.78 | $0.386 | $3 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.330 | $3 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 63.83 | $0.047 | $3 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 15.78 | $0.360 | $5.68 | Apr 16, 2026 |