Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | Yes | 67 | $0.110 | $1.17 | -$6.2 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | sell | 74 | $0.100 | $7.4 | Apr 8, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 74 |
| $0.120 |
| $8.88 |
| Mar 29, 2026 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.120 | $7.2 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.004 | $0.12 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | sell | 34.99 | $0.021 | $0.73 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.350 | $21 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 800 | $0.027 | $21.6 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | buy | 22.2 | $0.770 | $17.09 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 25 | $0.950 | $23.75 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.910 | $22.75 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-23?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.040 | $32 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump publicly disparage Netanyahu by December 31?Yes | buy | 121 | $0.070 | $8.47 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan"?Yes | buy | 338.87 | $0.027 | $9.13 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 US forces in Venezuela by December 31?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.140 | $21 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 US strikes Nigeria by December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.270 | $10.8 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.110 | $11 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu by November 30?Yes | buy | 37.68 | $0.070 | $2.64 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.620 | $29.76 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Longest Government Shutdown" this week? (November 17 – 23)Yes | buy | 42 | $0.380 | $15.96 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.273 | $10.92 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.273 | $13.1 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?No | buy | 800.39 | $0.350 | $280.14 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.340 | $51 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.350 | $3.5 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.329 | $65.8 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.328 | $7.87 | Oct 6, 2025 |