Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.86 | $0.997 | $1.85 | Dec 10, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 104.84 |
| $0.999 |
| $104.74 |
| Dec 5, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 102.82 | $0.985 | $101.28 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 594 | $0.005 | $2.97 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 152.01 | $0.984 | $149.58 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 265.37 | $0.978 | $259.53 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?No | sell | 692.96 | $0.515 | $356.7 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?No | buy | 692.97 | $0.146 | $101.17 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | sell | 111.15 | $0.870 | $96.7 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 111.15 | $0.978 | $108.72 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 113.25 | $0.989 | $112 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will Racing Bulls be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 106.99 | $0.999 | $106.88 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Will Racing Bulls be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 106.99 | $0.998 | $106.78 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will Aston Martin be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 82.47 | $0.997 | $82.22 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Will Aston Martin be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 82.47 | $0.998 | $82.31 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 97.22 | $0.995 | $96.73 | Jun 12, 2025 |
| Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 97.23 | $0.996 | $96.84 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will Sauber be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 101.2 | $0.997 | $100.9 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Will Sauber be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 101.2 | $0.998 | $101 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 500 or more times June 6–13?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.990 | $9 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Will Racing Bulls be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 111.95 | $0.997 | $111.61 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Will Racing Bulls be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 111.95 | $0.998 | $111.73 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 108.57 | $0.995 | $108.03 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 108.57 | $0.996 | $108.14 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May?No | buy | 4.09 | $0.999 | $4.09 | May 30, 2025 |
 Will Zellnor Myrie win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 102.93 | $0.999 | $102.83 | May 30, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.993 | $1.35 | May 27, 2025 |
| Will Zellnor Myrie win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 102.93 | $0.999 | $102.83 | May 27, 2025 |
 Will AUTO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 98.5 | $0.994 | $97.91 | May 26, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 100 times May 23–30?No | buy | 8.08 | $0.998 | $8.06 | May 25, 2025 |
| Will AUTO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 98.5 | $0.995 | $98.01 | May 23, 2025 |
| Will Zellnor Myrie win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 97.26 | $0.998 | $97.07 | May 22, 2025 |
| Will Zellnor Myrie win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 97.27 | $0.999 | $97.17 | May 20, 2025 |
 Will Luís Montenegro be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?Yes | buy | 12.85 | $0.990 | $12.72 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.997 | $1.59 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will Greece win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 84.79 | $0.997 | $84.54 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will egg prices be less than $4.75 in April?No | buy | 14.92 | $0.969 | $14.46 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 97.29 | $0.993 | $96.61 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 97.29 | $0.994 | $96.71 | May 9, 2025 |
 Will Nacionalista win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2025 Philippine general election?No | buy | 11.07 | $0.999 | $11.06 | May 9, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 63.6 | $0.982 | $62.46 | May 7, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 2–9?No | buy | 1.46 | $0.993 | $1.45 | May 6, 2025 |
 Will Pierre Gasly be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 35.94 | $0.997 | $35.83 | May 4, 2025 |
 Will Fernando Alonso be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 71.6 | $0.997 | $71.39 | May 4, 2025 |
 Will someone else win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?No | buy | 2.23 | $0.999 | $2.23 | May 2, 2025 |
| Will Pierre Gasly be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 35.94 | $0.998 | $35.87 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Will Fernando Alonso be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 71.6 | $0.998 | $71.46 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Will the PPC win 4 seats in the next Canadian Election?No | buy | 3.39 | $0.997 | $3.38 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 75.29 | $0.997 | $75.06 | Apr 28, 2025 |
| Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 75.29 | $0.998 | $75.14 | Apr 27, 2025 |