Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.860 | $5.38 | Jul 17, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 6.25 |
| $0.800 |
| $5 |
| May 17, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | May 17, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 5.17 | $0.968 | $5 | May 17, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 10.75 | $0.880 | $9.46 | May 1, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 10.41 | $0.939 | $9.78 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?No | sell | 5.27 | $0.984 | $5.19 | May 1, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 13.88 | $0.680 | $9.44 | May 1, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?No | buy | 5.27 | $0.948 | $5 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 15.14 | $0.991 | $15 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.610 | $5.54 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Somalia next?Yes | buy | 5.11 | $0.979 | $5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 5.14 | $0.973 | $5 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.992 | $5 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 21?Yes | buy | 5.67 | $0.882 | $5 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.992 | $5 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.917 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | sell | 7.93 | $0.730 | $5.79 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 7.93 | $0.330 | $2.62 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 1.11 | $0.940 | $1.04 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No | sell | 1.81 | $0.700 | $1.27 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in 2025?No | sell | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?No | sell | 1 | $0.993 | $0.99 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Russia enter Toretske by December 31?No | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?No | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by December 31?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Andrii Yermak arrested by December 31?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.945 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Zelensky resigns in 2025?No | buy | 11.08 | $0.993 | $11 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?No | buy | 11.04 | $0.996 | $11 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?No | buy | 15.14 | $0.991 | $15 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Yes | buy | 5.06 | $0.989 | $5 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?No | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | buy | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Yes | sell | 1.01 | $0.998 | $1.01 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.06 | $0.969 | $2 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 10.02 | $0.998 | $10 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by November 30?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | Nov 24, 2025 |