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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | No | 4.32 | $0.999 | $4.25 | -$0.06 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.8 | $0.999 | $3.8 | 13h ago |
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| No |
| 4.32 |
| $0.999 |
| $4.21 |
| -$0.11 |
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | No | 4.32 | $0.999 | $4.21 | -$0.11 |
Will Union Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | No | 3.11 | $0.995 | $3.11 | +$0.01 |
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? | Yes | 4.32 | $0.999 | $0.63 | -$3.69 |
| buy |
| 3.81 |
| $0.997 |
| $3.8 |
| 13h ago |
Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.81 | $0.997 | $3.8 | 13h ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6AM ETDown | buy | 10.71 | $0.343 | $3.67 | 14h ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1AM ETUp | buy | 3.74 | $0.980 | $3.67 | 19h ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8PM ETDown | buy | 3.71 | $0.990 | $3.67 | 1d ago |
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%?Over | buy | 3.67 | $0.999 | $3.67 | 4d ago |
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 3.69 | $0.998 | $3.68 | 5d ago |
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?No | buy | 3.69 | $0.998 | $3.68 | 5d ago |
Will Trump's approval rating be between 37.0 and 37.4 on September 4, 2026?No | buy | 3.75 | $0.999 | $3.75 | 6d ago |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of August 31 2026?No | buy | 3.74 | $0.999 | $3.74 | 6d ago |
Will Susan Lahey win the 2026 York—Simcoe provincial by-election?Yes | buy | 3.61 | $0.998 | $3.6 | 7d ago |
Will 7-9 states be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?No | buy | 3.67 | $0.999 | $3.67 | 7d ago |
Will 200 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in August 2026?No | buy | 3.73 | $0.999 | $3.73 | 9d ago |
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $240 end of August?Yes | buy | 3.74 | $0.999 | $3.74 | 10d ago |
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Philadelphia Union next?No | buy | 3.73 | $0.999 | $3.73 | 10d ago |
Will Russia target Kyiv on August 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.74 | $0.999 | $3.74 | 11d ago |
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 TOUR Championship?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.999 | $3.7 | 12d ago |
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 29, 2026?No | buy | 3.74 | $0.990 | $3.7 | 12d ago |
Will it rain in Denver, CO on August 28?No | buy | 3.74 | $0.989 | $3.7 | 12d ago |
Will it rain in Houston, TX on August 28?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.999 | $3.7 | 12d ago |
Meta (META) Up or Down on August 26?Up | buy | 3.69 | $0.999 | $3.69 | 15d ago |
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 25, 2026?No | buy | 3.71 | $0.995 | $3.69 | 15d ago |
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 19, 2026?No | buy | 3.69 | $0.999 | $3.69 | 21d ago |
Will Kevin Batdorf win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?No | buy | 3.68 | $0.999 | $3.68 | 23d ago |
Will Michaelangelo Hamilton be the Republican nominee for Senate in Florida?No | buy | 3.71 | $0.995 | $3.69 | 24d ago |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 15?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.998 | $3.69 | 26d ago |
Will Dee Valladares be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 5)?No | buy | 3.68 | $0.999 | $3.68 | 28d ago |
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 30%?No | buy | 3.71 | $0.994 | $3.69 | 29d ago |
Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 3.69 | $0.978 | $3.61 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $21B by June 30?No | buy | 3.6 | $0.999 | $3.6 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be below 48.0 in June?No | buy | 3.6 | $0.999 | $3.6 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Kuwait sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?No | buy | 3.59 | $0.999 | $3.59 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Oman sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?No | buy | 3.59 | $0.999 | $3.59 | Jun 30, 2026 |
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?No | buy | 3.64 | $0.990 | $3.6 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?No | buy | 3.67 | $0.982 | $3.6 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?Yes | buy | 3.63 | $0.998 | $3.62 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will "Shrill: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?No | buy | 3.62 | $0.999 | $3.62 | Jun 23, 2026 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 22?Down | buy | 3.62 | $0.999 | $3.62 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?No | buy | 3.64 | $0.995 | $3.62 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 23 be at least 100?No | buy | 3.67 | $0.999 | $3.67 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?Yes | buy | 3.74 | $0.978 | $3.66 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be above 2%?No | buy | 3.82 | $0.967 | $3.69 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.68 | $0.999 | $3.68 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs DFX Peek (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Group CDFX Peek | buy | 3.76 | $0.990 | $3.72 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?Yes | buy | 3.73 | $0.997 | $3.72 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?No | buy | 3.72 | $0.999 | $3.72 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?No | buy | 3.75 | $0.995 | $3.73 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will "Phoebe Bridgers" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album?No | buy | 3.73 | $0.999 | $3.73 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will Adobe Q2 total ARR be above $26.0B?Yes | buy | 3.72 | $0.999 | $3.72 | Jun 11, 2026 |