Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?No | buy | 21 | $0.800 | $16.8 | Jun 16, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 568.03 |
| $0.900 |
| $511.23 |
| Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 398 | $0.920 | $366.16 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No | buy | 2.25K | $0.997 | $2.24K | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 1.81K | $0.950 | $1.72K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 99 | $0.950 | $94.05 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.440 | $176 | May 27, 2026 |
 Starmer out by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 215 | $0.927 | $199.31 | May 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?No | buy | 651.87 | $0.963 | $627.75 | May 19, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.920 | $9.2 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.973 | $29.19 | May 4, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.67K | $0.929 | $8.98K | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 135.66 | $0.960 | $130.23 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 410.04 | $0.960 | $393.64 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 90 | $0.993 | $89.37 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 22 | $0.949 | $20.88 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.3K | $0.993 | $1.29K | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | buy | 1.86K | $0.963 | $1.79K | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.99K | $0.993 | $7.93K | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 732.24 | $0.966 | $707.34 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 7K | $0.989 | $6.92K | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 225.46 | $0.990 | $223.21 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | sell | 955.32 | $0.096 | $91.71 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Yes | buy | 598 | $0.940 | $562.12 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | sell | 319.68 | $0.482 | $154.09 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | sell | 434.99 | $0.250 | $108.75 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | sell | 5.08K | $0.273 | $1.39K | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 4.88K | $0.921 | $4.49K | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.860 | $30.71 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 249.75 | $0.160 | $39.96 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 6.67K | $0.987 | $6.58K | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 200 | $0.959 | $191.8 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 95.16 | $0.954 | $90.78 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.946 | $283.75 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?No | buy | 2.72K | $0.890 | $2.42K | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | sell | 4.11K | $0.967 | $3.98K | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 1.27K | $0.924 | $1.18K | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 4.11K | $0.940 | $3.86K | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | sell | 8.59K | $0.999 | $8.58K | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.935 | $35.96 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Starmer out by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 699.33 | $0.985 | $688.83 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Starmer out by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 190 | $0.984 | $186.96 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | buy | 3.29K | $0.869 | $2.86K | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | buy | 2.89K | $0.871 | $2.51K | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.18K | $0.996 | $4.16K | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2026 Cochabamba mayoral election?Yes | buy | 27.95 | $0.981 | $27.41 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2026 Cochabamba mayoral election?Yes | buy | 980.88 | $0.980 | $961.05 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will the South Australian Labor Party win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 310 | $0.986 | $305.65 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will the South Australian Labor Party win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 362.6 | $0.985 | $357.14 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Starmer out by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 256.68 | $0.969 | $248.72 | Mar 17, 2026 |